U.S. markets close in 1 hour 29 minutes
  • S&P 500

    4,228.26
    -55.48 (-1.30%)
     
  • Dow 30

    33,707.54
    -291.50 (-0.86%)
     
  • Nasdaq

    12,700.39
    -264.95 (-2.04%)
     
  • Russell 2000

    1,957.56
    -43.17 (-2.16%)
     
  • Crude Oil

    90.25
    -0.25 (-0.28%)
     
  • Gold

    1,762.20
    -9.00 (-0.51%)
     
  • Silver

    19.01
    -0.45 (-2.33%)
     
  • EUR/USD

    1.0045
    -0.0047 (-0.46%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    2.9790
    +0.0990 (+3.44%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.1825
    -0.0108 (-0.90%)
     
  • USD/JPY

    136.7780
    +0.9160 (+0.67%)
     
  • BTC-USD

    21,379.02
    -1,920.90 (-8.24%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    508.06
    -33.54 (-6.19%)
     
  • FTSE 100

    7,550.37
    +8.52 (+0.11%)
     
  • Nikkei 225

    28,930.33
    -11.77 (-0.04%)
     

Previewing The Airliners: Can Shares Take Flight?

  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
·5 min read
In this article:
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.

Earnings season kicks off next week. Investors are more than eager for companies to unveil their quarterly results to understand better how they have navigated the rough economic waters we’ve found ourselves in.

A trio of airliners – United Air Lines UAL, American Air Lines AAL, and Southwest Airlines LUV – are all slated to release quarterly results within the next two weeks.

All three companies reside in the Zacks Transportation – Airline Industry, which has tumbled 22% year-to-date. The chart below illustrates the year-to-date performance of all three companies.

Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Investment Research


Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

It’s worth noting that the COVID-19 pandemic crushed demand but is quickly returning. Additionally, soaring fuel costs have undoubtedly impacted margins, and we saw this in Delta Air Lines’ DAL Q2 report; DAL missed the Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate by a double-digit 16% but posted a 1.6% top-line beat.

Let’s take a closer view of each company to see how they shape up heading into next week.

United Air Lines

United Air Lines UAL is currently a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) with an overall VGM Score of an A. Over the last 60 days, analysts have substantially raised their earnings outlook across several timeframes.

For the quarter to be reported, the Consensus Estimate Trend has increased by 43%.

Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Investment Research


Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate for the upcoming quarter resides at $1.86, penciling in a massive triple-digit increase in earnings of nearly 150% year-over-year.

In addition, the quarterly revenue estimate of $12 billion notches a triple-digit 120% expansion in the top-line from the year-ago quarter.

Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Investment Research


Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The company sports a 0.3X forward price-to-sales ratio, nicely below its five-year median value of 0.5X and well underneath highs of 0.9X in 2020. In addition, the value represents an enticing 83% discount relative to its Zacks Sector.

Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Investment Research


Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

UAL’s bottom-line results have primarily been mixed; over its last ten quarterly reports, the airliner has exceeded the Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate five times.

American Air Lines

American Air Lines AAL is a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) with an overall VGM Score of a B. Analysts have extensively upped their earnings estimates for the current fiscal year and the upcoming quarter over the last 60 days.

The Consensus Estimate Trend for the upcoming quarter has soared by 44%.

Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Investment Research


Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Currently, the Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate resides at $0.79, reflecting a triple-digit 145% uptick in quarterly earnings from the year-ago quarter.

Furthermore, the airliner is forecasted to generate $13.4 billion in revenue, good enough for a sizable double-digit 80% increase in quarterly revenue year-over-year.

Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Investment Research


Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

American Airlines boasts a 0.2X forward price-to-sales ratio, just above its five-year median value of 0.1X and nowhere near highs of 0.6X in 2020. Additionally, the value represents a solid 89% discount relative to its Zacks Sector.

Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Investment Research


Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

AAL has recently displayed consistency within its bottom-line, exceeding the Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate in seven consecutive quarters.

Southwest Airlines

Southwest Airlines LUV is a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) with an overall VGM Score of an A. Similar to AAL and UAL, analysts have positively revised their earnings estimates substantially across several timeframes.

The Consensus Estimate Trend for the upcoming quarter has climbed 18.5% over the last 60 days.

Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Investment Research


Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

For the upcoming quarterly release, the Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate resides at $1.15, reflecting a jaw-dropping 430% growth in quarterly earnings year-over-year.

In addition, Southwest is forecasted to rake in $6.7 billion in revenue for the quarter, notching a 70% increase in revenue from the year-ago quarter.

Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Investment Research


Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

Southwest currently sports a 0.9X forward price-to-sales ratio, which is well below its five-year median value of 1.5X and nowhere near highs of 3.1X in 2020. Furthermore, the value represents a 36% discount relative to its Zacks Sector.

Zacks Investment Research
Zacks Investment Research


Image Source: Zacks Investment Research

The company has primarily reported bottom-line results above expectations; Southwest has exceeded the Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate seven times over its last ten quarterly reports.

Bottom Line

All three companies are expected to register substantial top and bottom-line growth, a reflection of the travel industry recovering following a once-in-a-lifetime pandemic that locked the world inside.

However, soaring costs are expected to weigh heavily on margins, a common theme we will see during the second round of quarterly results in 2022.

Delta Air Lines’ DAL quarterly report revealed that higher fuel costs negatively affected its bottom-line. In addition, shares didn’t react well to the quarterly release; shares lost nearly 5% in value following the report. Investors should be aware of the soaring costs that these airliners have had to face.


Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report
 
Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
United Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
To read this article on Zacks.com click here.
 
Zacks Investment Research