U.S. Markets close in 5 hrs 5 mins

ProAssurance Hits 52-Week Low & Shares Fall 24%, Here's Why

Zacks Equity Research
1 / 1

Earnings Estimates Moving Higher for Vanda (VNDA): Time to Buy?

Vanda (VNDA) shares have started gaining and might continue moving higher in the near term, as indicated by solid earnings estimate revisions.

On May 17, shares of ProAssurance Corporation PRA hit 52-week low of $39.65. The stock seems to have fallen out of favor with investors, following disappointing first-quarter results.

Shares of ProAssurance have also underperformed the industry. The stock has lost nearly 24% in a year’s time versus the industry’s rally of 18%

The company’s first-quarter 2018 operating earnings per share of 40 cents missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 6.9%. The bottom line declined 35.5% year over year.  Results suffered from increase in expenses that outweighed premium growth.

Factors Weighing On the Stock

Volatility in Premium Retention:  ProAssurance has been facing volatility in premium retention in its physician business, mainly due to increased competition. Retention rate has been declining from past many years and the first quarter was no exception with the same declining 300 basis points. Continuous reduction in insured client base might weigh on premiums, dragging top-line growth going forward.

Deteriorating Investment Portfolio: The sustained soft interest rate environment in the recent past kept the investment income in a lower level for long. Net investment income declined at an average rate of 6.3% over the past six years (2011-17), primarily due to a fall in the fixed income portfolio. Despite the recent interest-rate hikes during 2017, the company witnessed a 5% drop in net investment income.

Growing Expenses: ProAssurance has been consistently suffering higher underwriting, policy acquisition and operating expenses. On an average, these expenses increased at a rate of nearly 8% in the past six years inducing deterioration in the company’s margin. An increase in net loss and loss adjustment expenses as well as underwriting, policy acquisition and operating expenses induced 5.4% increase in expenses in the first quarter of 2018.

Any Respite Going Forward

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2018 earnings has been revised 6% downward over the past 30 days. For 2019, the same has decreased 9.5%. This reflects analysts pessimism over the stock, which should keep the stock under pressure in the coming quarters.

Zacks Rank and Stocks to Consider

ProAssurance carries a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell). Some other stocks in the same space are Alleghany Corp. Y, The Progressive Corp. PGR and RLI Corp. RLI. Each of these stocks carries a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see  the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

Alleghany beats estimates in three of the four reported quarters with average positive surprise of 17.6%

The Progressive Corp. surpassed estimates in three of the four reported quarters with average positive surprise of 6.23%.

RLI Corp. surpassed estimates in each of the four reported quarters with average positive surprise of 33.7%. 

More Stock News: This Is Bigger than the iPhone!

It could become the mother of all technological revolutions. Apple sold a mere 1 billion iPhones in 10 years but a new breakthrough is expected to generate more than 27 billion devices in just 3 years, creating a $1.7 trillion market.

Zacks has just released a Special Report that spotlights this fast-emerging phenomenon and 6 tickers for taking advantage of it. If you don't buy now, you may kick yourself in 2020.

Click here for the 6 trades >>

Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report
RLI Corp. (RLI) : Free Stock Analysis Report
ProAssurance Corporation (PRA) : Free Stock Analysis Report
The Progressive Corporation (PGR) : Free Stock Analysis Report
Alleghany Corporation (Y) : Free Stock Analysis Report
To read this article on Zacks.com click here.
Zacks Investment Research