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It has been about a month since the last earnings report for Public Storage (PSA). Shares have added about 7.6% in that time frame, outperforming the S&P 500.
Will the recent positive trend continue leading up to its next earnings release, or is Public Storage due for a pullback? Before we dive into how investors and analysts have reacted as of late, let's take a quick look at its most recent earnings report in order to get a better handle on the important drivers.
Public Storage Q2 FFO Beats on Rent & Occupancy Gains
Public Storage's second-quarter 2021 core FFO per share of $3.15 surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.93. The figure also increased 28% year on year.
Quarterly revenues of $829.3 million exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $801.6 million. Moreover, revenues increased 16.3% year on year.
Results reflect an improvement in realized annual rent per available square foot and weighted average square foot occupancy in the reported quarter. The company also benefited from its expansion efforts through acquisitions, development and extensions. Management has also raised the 2021 core FFO guidance.
Behind the Headlines
Public Storage’s same-store revenues increased 10.8% year over year to $680.8 million during the second quarter, highlighting higher realized annual rent per available square foot and weighted average square foot occupancy. This upswing was backed by an 11% increase in realized annual rental income per available square foot to $17.77. Also, weighted-average square foot occupancy of 97% expanded 3% year over year.
Same-store cost of operations fell 13.1% year over year, mainly reflecting a decrease in on-site property manager payroll, a decline in marketing expenses, and a change in property tax timing causing a decrease in property tax expense.
Consequently, the company’s same-store net operating income (NOI) increased 21.7% to $513.7 million. Also, the REIT’s NOI growth from non-same store facilities was $35.2 million, on the back of the facilities acquired in 2020 and 2021, as well as the fill-up of the recently-developed and expanded facilities.
During the June-end quarter, Public Storage acquired 84 self-storage facilities, comprising 7.0 million net rentable square feet of area, for $2.3 billion. In April, the company completed the acquisition of the ezStorage portfolio, comprising 48 properties, for $1.8 billion. Following Jun 30, 2021, the company acquired or was under contract to acquire 36 self-storage facilities, spanning 3.0 million net rentable square feet of space across 15 states, for $466.6 million.
During the second quarter, the REIT opened two newly-developed facilities and several expansion projects costing $40.2 million. Finally, as of Jun 30, 2021, Public Storage had several facilities in development (1.9 million net rentable square feet), with an estimated cost of $308 million, as well as expansion projects (2.4 million net rentable square feet) worth $353 million. It expects to incur the remaining $411 million of development costs related to these projects, mainly over the next 18-24 months.
Balance Sheet Position
Public Storage exited second-quarter 2021 with $480.8 million of cash and equivalents, up from the $257.6 million recorded at the end of 2020.
For 2021, the company raised the core FFO per share outlook to $11.90-$12.30 from the prior guidance of $11.35-$11.75.
The company’s full-year assumption is backed by 7-8.5% growth in same-store revenues, a 0-1% rise in same-store expenses and a 9.4-11.9% expansion in same-store NOI. Further, the company expects $3.1 billion of acquisitions and $215 million of development openings.
How Have Estimates Been Moving Since Then?
It turns out, estimates revision have trended upward during the past month. The consensus estimate has shifted 5.28% due to these changes.
Currently, Public Storage has a subpar Growth Score of D, a grade with the same score on the momentum front. Charting a somewhat similar path, the stock was allocated a grade of F on the value side, putting it in the lowest quintile for this investment strategy.
Overall, the stock has an aggregate VGM Score of F. If you aren't focused on one strategy, this score is the one you should be interested in.
Estimates have been trending upward for the stock, and the magnitude of these revisions looks promising. It comes with little surprise Public Storage has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). We expect an above average return from the stock in the next few months.
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