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Shares of Rexnord (RXN) have been strong performers lately, with the stock up 6.1% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $53.68 in the previous session. Rexnord has gained 34.4% since the start of the year compared to the 13.3% move for the Zacks Industrial Products sector and the 22.1% return for the Zacks Manufacturing - Electronics industry.
What's Driving the Outperformance?
The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on July 20, 2021, Rexnord reported EPS of $0.58 versus consensus estimate of $0.5 while it beat the consensus revenue estimate by 4.42%.
For the current fiscal year, Rexnord is expected to post earnings of $2.04 per share on $2.2 billion in revenues. Meanwhile, for the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $2.36 per share on $2.32 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 15.56% and 5.2%, respectively.
Rexnord may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.
On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.
Rexnord has a Value Score of D. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are A and B, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.
In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 26X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 20.6X versus its peer group's average of 22.9X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 1.9. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.
We also need to consider the stock's Zacks Rank, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Rexnord currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.
Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Rexnord meets the list of requirements. Thus, it seems as though Rexnord shares could have a bit more room to run in the near term.
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