Has Selective Insurance Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:SIGI) Improved Earnings Growth In Recent Times?

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Analyzing Selective Insurance Group, Inc.’s (NASDAQ:SIGI) track record of past performance is a valuable exercise for investors. It enables us to reflect on whether or not the company has met expectations, which is a powerful signal for future performance. Today I will assess SIGI’s recent performance announced on 31 December 2018 and compare these figures to its long-term trend and industry movements.

See our latest analysis for Selective Insurance Group

Could SIGI beat the long-term trend and outperform its industry?

SIGI’s trailing twelve-month earnings (from 31 December 2018) of US$179m has increased by 6.0% compared to the previous year.

However, this one-year growth rate has been lower than its average earnings growth rate over the past 5 years of 6.7%, indicating the rate at which SIGI is growing has slowed down. Why could this be happening? Well, let’s examine what’s going on with margins and if the rest of the industry is experiencing the hit as well.

NASDAQGS:SIGI Income Statement Export February 13th 19
NASDAQGS:SIGI Income Statement Export February 13th 19

In terms of returns from investment, Selective Insurance Group has fallen short of achieving a 20% return on equity (ROE), recording 10.0% instead. However, its return on assets (ROA) of 2.6% exceeds the US Insurance industry of 2.3%, indicating Selective Insurance Group has used its assets more efficiently. Though, its return on capital (ROC), which also accounts for Selective Insurance Group’s debt level, has declined over the past 3 years from 13% to 9.4%.

What does this mean?

Though Selective Insurance Group’s past data is helpful, it is only one aspect of my investment thesis. Positive growth and profitability are what investors like to see in a company’s track record, but how do we properly assess sustainability? You should continue to research Selective Insurance Group to get a more holistic view of the stock by looking at:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for SIGI’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for SIGI’s outlook.

  2. Financial Health: Are SIGI’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the trailing twelve months from 31 December 2018. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

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