Serco Group (LON:SRP) Shareholders Have Enjoyed A 67% Share Price Gain

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If you want to compound wealth in the stock market, you can do so by buying an index fund. But you can significantly boost your returns by picking above-average stocks. For example, the Serco Group plc (LON:SRP) share price is up 67% in the last year, clearly besting the market return of around 17% (not including dividends). If it can keep that out-performance up over the long term, investors will do very well! The longer term returns have not been as good, with the stock price only 15% higher than it was three years ago.

View our latest analysis for Serco Group

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During the last year Serco Group grew its earnings per share (EPS) by 98%. It's fair to say that the share price gain of 67% did not keep pace with the EPS growth. Therefore, it seems the market isn't as excited about Serco Group as it was before. This could be an opportunity.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

LSE:SRP Past and Future Earnings, December 24th 2019
LSE:SRP Past and Future Earnings, December 24th 2019

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Serco Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We've already covered Serco Group's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Serco Group shareholders, and that cash payout contributed to why its TSR of 67%, over the last year, is better than the share price return.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Serco Group shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 67% over one year. That's better than the annualised return of 4.6% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. If you want to research this stock further, the data on insider buying is an obvious place to start. You can click here to see who has been buying shares - and the price they paid.

Serco Group is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

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