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Skyline Champion Corp (SKY) Q4 2019 Earnings Call Transcript

Logo of jester cap with thought bubble.
Logo of jester cap with thought bubble.

Image source: The Motley Fool.

Skyline Champion Corp (NYSE: SKY)
Q4 2019 Earnings Call
May 22, 2019, 8:30 a.m. ET

Contents:

  • Prepared Remarks

  • Questions and Answers

  • Call Participants

Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Good morning. Welcome to Skyline Champion Corporation's Fourth Quarter and Full-Year Fiscal 2019 Earnings Call.

The company issued an earnings press release yesterday after close. I would like to remind everyone that yesterday's press release and statements made during this call include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.

These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from our expectations and projections. Such risks and uncertainties include the factors set forth in the earnings release and in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Additionally, during today's call, the company will discuss non-GAAP measures, which they believe can be useful in evaluating their performance. A reconciliation of these measures can be found in the earnings release.

I would now like to turn the call over to Keith Anderson, Skyline Champions' Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.

Keith Anderson -- Chief Executive Officer

Thank you for joining our earnings call to discuss our fourth quarter and full-year results for our fiscal 2019. Joining me on today's call is Laurie Hough, EVP and CFO, and Mark Yost, EVP and President of US operations.

As we announced on May 1st, Mark will be succeeding me as CEO upon my retirement next month. Mark is an exceptional leader and has been instrumental in driving the success of Skyline Champion. As part of this transition, Mark has joined our Board of Directors and I will remain on the Board as well.

I'll start off today's call with some highlights from our results, then provide updated commentary on the market, and finally discuss some of the progress with our operational and growth initiatives. As a reminder, the combination of Skyline and Champion closed on June 1st, which was during the first quarter of fiscal 2019. As a result, the results for the fourth quarter include three months, four months of operations for the combined company, Skyline Champion, while a year ago, comparables include only legacy Champion.

Our full-year 2019 results include 10 months for the combined company, while the 2018 comparables include only legacy Champion. I am proud of the results Skyline Champion delivered for our fiscal year 2019. We generated strong revenue growth of 28% for total revenue of $1.4 billion.

We grew adjusted EBITDA by 50% to $97 million for the year. These results demonstrate the strong momentum our company is realizing from the transaction. During the fourth quarter, we grew our revenue by 23% year-over-year. Our results were driven by core business gains and did not include any one-time or FEMA-related revenue benefits. We sold 15% more homes in the US at an average selling price of $61,100.

Gross profit increased by 53% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $24.2 million, an 86% increase year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA margin in the quarter was 7.4% compared to 4.9% a year ago. Strong margin improvement was driven by better pricing discipline and operational improvements. Also, we realized synergies during the quarter, driven by purchasing and operational efficiencies.

Turning to the market. Consistent with our previous comments, we remain positive on the outlook for manufactured housing industry, as we see significant runway for continued growth. Industry volumes remain well below the long-term averages and new financing options are becoming available and are slowly helping close the gap with those historic trends.

During calendar year 2018, the manufactured housing industry faced tough times, as more than 1,300 homes were shipped to FEMA. When backing out those shipments, the manufactured housing industry grew 8% in 2018 versus the broader housing industry, which grew by only 3% as measured by housing starts. While there is more work needed to close the gap, 2018 represented an another year where manufactured housing outpace site-built.

During the March quarter, we did experience some demand softening in certain US markets such as Texas, Florida, and South Central region, which were similar to the broader housing market. Retailers in these markets also carried higher-than-normal inventory levels.

Lastly, weather impacted our northern facilities during the quarter with tougher than normal winter conditions. While we finished fiscal 2019 with some softness, we are off to a good start to fiscal 2020, with a double-digit increase in US orders during the month of April. This bodes well for the remainder of the year. US economic trends including household formations, income growth and alternative housing costs continue to support a growing shortage of affordable housing. And we believe that our homes remain an attractive solution for the market.

In Canada, orders were down 25% during the March quarter, as we saw a softening in British Columbia market along with Alberta and Saskatchewan. We expect this trend to continue for the short term. Despite market conditions, our Canadian plants remain profitable with solid margins.

We are seeing continued growth in our modular and park-model product lines. This past calendar year, we became the largest builder in the country for both of those product lines, which represent almost a quarter of our manufacturing production. While we are proud of those accomplishments, we remain focused on new opportunities to expand both product lines in the coming years.

Overall, backlogs remain solid as demand from three of our distribution channels, independent dealers, company-owned stores and communities continues to be healthy. At the end of the fourth quarter, our consolidated backlog was $143 million. This compares to a year ago backlogs of $155 million that were inflated due to the FEMA production from October 2017 through February 2018.

Encouragingly, backlogs for a number of our plants have now seasonally adjusted to a more normalized four week to six week level. This is an optimal level, where our plants have visibility for labor staffing and bulk purchasing without taking undue inflation risk on quoting activity.

On the financing front, we continue to see progress. While financing is still constrained in less competitive and standard site-built mortgage products, we are encouraged by recent developments. The GSE programs have had little impact on orders so far, but momentum from an improved marketing and training programs is beginning to build. Retailers and builder developers are seeing the advantages these programs can offer to the end consumer.

We anticipate a more meaningful impact during the last six months of our fiscal year 2020. On the regulatory front, HUD appears ready to loosen on-site inspection requirements for garages and carports. This will assist the industry's adoption of the new GSE financing programs in both costs and efficiency.

I will now turn the call over to Mark to provide an update on some of our expansion efforts.

Mark Yost -- Executive Vice President and President, US Operations

Thank you, Keith. It's a pleasure to be joining you on today's call. Skyline Champion now operates 37 manufacturing facilities, strategically located in markets that are within close proximity to our customers. We are continuing to make progress, expanding capacity to meet demand while improving our efficiency in response to rising capacity utilization.

I am pleased to report that the plant expansion on our Leola, Pennsylvania, campus was completed at the end of the first quarter and began production in April, in line with our expectations. The local team has done a great job of bringing the new facility online. As a reminder, this new facility will primarily produce park model homes.

Our new Leesville, Louisiana plant is also progressing according to plan, with an expected opening by the end of June. Leesville will incorporate new production technology for floor and wall-built stations. This will help to mitigate directly the risks, and will also serve as a prototype for future expansion of automation at other facilities.

I will now turn the call over to Laurie to discuss our quarterly financials in more detail.

Laurie Hough -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Mark.

We are pleased with our performance during the quarter as net sales increased 23% to $328 million compared to $266 million in the prior year. The net sales increase was driven by the inclusion of the legacy Skyline operations and an increase in the average home selling price.

US sales grew by 35% to $295 million. The number of US factory-built homes sold increased 15%. Average selling price per US homes sold expanded 17% to $61,100, as a result of increased market demand, product mix and pricing.

Canadian sales during the quarter declined by 17% to $18.7 million, caused by a similar decline in the number of homes sold. Average home selling prices increased marginally to $81,600. Gross profit increased to $66 million, up 53% compared to $43 million in the prior year quarter.

Our US housing segment gross margins were 20.6% of segment net sales, up from 16.2% last year. Sequentially, when comparing the US factory-built housing segments gross margins in the fourth quarter versus our fiscal 2019 third quarter, we saw a 200 basis point increase due to synergy capture, disciplined pricing and operational improvements.

SG&A in the fourth quarter increased to $53 million versus $35 million in the same period last year. The increase primarily due to the inclusion of the Skyline operations for the entire fourth quarter of fiscal 2019 and continued integration costs, higher intangible amortization and non-cash equity based compensation cost associated with the combination.

In addition, variable selling costs such as sales commissions increased as a result of our revenue growth. Also during the fourth quarter, the company granted equity awards as part of its long-term incentive plan, which added a $1 million of recurring equity cap. Finally, we invested more than a $1 million in operating start-up costs for our plant expansions.

Net income for the fourth quarter was $9.2 million, or $0.16 per share, compared to a net loss of $2.3 million, or $0.05 per share during the same period in the prior year. The increase was driven by improved operating performance and lower tax expense. On an adjusted basis, we generated $0.26 of net income per diluted share compared to $0.03 in the year ago quarter.

The company's effective tax rate for the three months ended March 30, 2019 was 25.9% versus an effective tax rate of 176.4% for the fiscal 2018 fourth quarter. The change in the effective tax rate was primarily due to costs related to equity-based compensation, for which we cannot take a tax deduction and other non-deductible items in the fiscal fourth quarter. During the fiscal fourth quarter 2018, the company established a deferred tax liability for unremitted foreign earnings and recognized tax expense related to cash repatriations.

Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $24.2 million, an increase of 86% over the same period a year ago. The adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 250 basis points to 7.4%, largely due to higher average selling prices, operational improvements and synergy capture.

As of March 30, 2019, we have $127 million of cash and cash equivalents. Cash generated from operations for fiscal year 2019 improved by $34 million versus the same period last year, driven by improved profitability, adjusted for non-cash equity-based compensation and improved working capital management.

During the quarter, we used excess cash to pay down $5 million of our revolving credit facility. As a result, the company had $37.1 million of unused borrowing capacity under our $100 million revolving credit facility as of March 30, 2019. We have a strong cash position with added liquidity from our credit facility that provides ample flexibility to invest in our core business and our strategic initiatives.

Turning to an update on the combinations. We continue to make good progress with systems integration during the quarter. We consolidated payroll systems as well as merged 401(k) plans and benefits packages. The ERP system conversion is nearly complete as of today's call.

We remain focused on synergy capture and are on track to achieve our previously raised targeted run-rate range of $12 million to $16 million by December 2019. We realized $9 million of synergies during fiscal 2019.

Operational improvements included in the synergy targets continue to progress better than expected. These improvements are resulting from eliminating redundant material costs, streamlining throughput and refining product mix. Procurement rationalization synergies continue to come in as expected.

In summary, we're pleased with our results in the fourth quarter and for the full year.

With that, I'd like to turn the call back to Keith for some comments on the outlook and closing remarks.

Keith Anderson -- Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Laurie.

We continue to make progress by improving both financially and operationally. The integration of Skyline and Champion is progressing well, and we are capturing meaningful synergies. As we look forward, we expect our markets to remain healthy, driven by increasing demand for affordable housing, supported by improving financing and regulatory environments, yet we are closely monitoring overall economic conditions and trends in the housing market.

We continue to pursue organic growth initiatives, supported by a favorable market backdrop while also evaluating potential acquisition opportunities that fit our discipline criteria. Longer term, we are well positioned to remain one of the leading providers of factory-built homes and generate attractive returns for our stakeholders, while providing quality housing for our customers and their families.

In closing, as this will be my last call as CEO, I would like to share some thoughts. First, I would like to thank all of our employees for their contributions to the company. It is through their hard work and dedication that Skyline Champion has become an industry leader. I also have enjoyed getting to know many of our investors and analysts, and I appreciate your interest and ongoing support for our company.

It's been a pleasure to see the company through such an exciting period for the industry over the past several years, and notably with the powerful combination of Skyline and Champion last June. I believe the combination has been a huge success to date and I'm even more excited about the prospects for the future.

And with that, operator, you may now open the lines for Q&A.

Questions and Answers:

Operator

Thank you. (Operator Instructions) Our first question is from Daniel Moore with CJS Securities. Please proceed.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

Good morning, Keith, Mark, Laurie.

Keith Anderson -- Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, Dan.

Mark Yost -- Executive Vice President and President, US Operations

Good morning.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

Keith, thank you. Just briefly and best of luck to you, and Mark, obviously, welcome and look forward to working with you a little bit more closely as we go forward. In terms of just -- first, in terms of weather, maybe talk about some of the regions that were most impacted in the March quarter, conditions in those regions in terms of ability to ship and place homes and how shipments are tracking there?

Keith Anderson -- Chief Executive Officer

Sure, Dan. I think the primary areas affected by the weather are kind of the region in the country between, let's say Texas and North Carolina. Rainfall and wet weather conditions have delayed sets. So, we've seen a buildup of retailer inventories over the past several months and those inventories have now come down through the March period. And we expect that inventory destocking to continue primarily in the Texas to Tennessee region over the next few months and be completed by the end of the first quarter.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

And, obviously, given that the inventory is expected to destock, are you now sort of back to normal in those areas as far as the ability to ship?

Keith Anderson -- Chief Executive Officer

It's still delaying shipments slightly. It's starting to pick up activity in those regions, but I expect that those delays to continue slightly through the first quarter.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

Helpful. And in terms of order rates, Keith mentioned in the US, impacted sort of double-digit order rates in April. Texas, Florida, South Central, you called out as soft in the March quarter. Are those areas coming back as well and where are you seeing pockets of strength?

Mark Yost -- Executive Vice President and President, US Operations

Yeah. I think it's -- we're seeing strength in customer demand across the country. I think it's important, Dan, to separate out HUD industry shipments from overall customer demand. Placements across the country from our retail channel and our community channels have been strong the entire time. Actually, if you look at statistical surveys and other market indices, they actually show retail activities very strong, even though our shipments from wholesale have been soft. So, end consumer demand is on track and very good. We just need to get through the destocking in winter period across those softer regions.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

Helpful, Mark. And then in terms of Fannie and Freddie's programs, sounds like some signs of momentum building. Are you seeing those programs attract more lenders back to the MH space? Any comments on kind of the latest spreads between MH and traditional site-built mortgages? And then, I think Keith mentioned H2, we might start to see some impact. Is there any way to -- I know it's difficult, but any way to quantify that?

Keith Anderson -- Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. I think in the latter half of the year, we will see traction from the Fannie and Freddie programs. We've seen good traction from the MH Advantage and MH Choice programs that they've rolled out in the secondary market, for chattel loans that they've put in place, I think would gain traction toward the latter half of the year as well.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

Helpful. And lastly, and I'll jump back. Canada obviously remains soft. You are kind of the key factors there. Just remind us percentage of overall revenue and what your outlook is beyond the next sort of three months to six months.

Keith Anderson -- Chief Executive Officer

Sure. I think the outlook in Canada, overall, is that their operations will kind of remain soft for the foreseeable future here for the next quarter or two at least. As British Columbia has softened, Alberta and Saskatchewan have been soft and we see those remaining soft. We're looking to diversify some of their revenue base to pick activity up there. But it's really primarily dependent on oil and agriculture. And as those markets rebound in the near future, we will see those markets pick up in Canada. And right now, Canada's approximately 8% of our overall sales.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

Perfect. I lied last one. Laurie, I'm going to sneak one in here. Really strong margins in the quarter. Are these types of level gross margins for your US operations sustainable, given where we are in terms of synergy capture and mix, et cetera?

Laurie Hough -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

In the US, certainly sustainable. There wasn't any one-time unusual adjustments in the quarter. So, we're really happy with the US margins and we think we can sustain them.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

Excellent. Appreciate it.

Keith Anderson -- Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Dan.

Operator

Our next question is from Greg Palm with Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Please proceed.

Greg Palm -- Craig-Hallum Capital Group -- Analyst

Yeah. Thanks. Good morning. And Keith, I guess I'll just start by saying how -- I really enjoyed working with you in the short time here but good luck with everything going forward. And Mark, excited to work with you more closely going forward as well.

Mark Yost -- Executive Vice President and President, US Operations

Thank you.

Keith Anderson -- Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Greg.

Greg Palm -- Craig-Hallum Capital Group -- Analyst

Just following up on last question in terms of recent trends. I know Keith said, something in the order of April orders been up double digits. Was that on a pro forma basis? And was that a unit number or an overall revenue number?

Laurie Hough -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

That was not pro forma, was more organic Champion-only period-over-period because as you can recall, Greg, we didn't have Skyline in April and May of last year. So, that's more of a organic double-digit growth rate for April. And that was on a floor basis.

Greg Palm -- Craig-Hallum Capital Group -- Analyst

That was on a floor basis?

Laurie Hough -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah.

Greg Palm -- Craig-Hallum Capital Group -- Analyst

Right. Okay. And then just as it relates to the gross margins because I thought that was probably most impressive in the quarter, especially given the lower level of revenue. But anyway, you can maybe just break out what you're seeing in terms of cost synergies that are flowing through? How much was raw material deflation? Anyway to just sort of quantify or at least pluck (ph) it out some of those positive impacts?

Laurie Hough -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Sure. So for comparing this fourth quarter to last fourth quarter, the material deflation was in the mid single digits, primarily driven by lumber that was partially offset by higher health insurance and labor costs. And then we had obviously synergies coming into the fourth quarter as well.

Greg Palm -- Craig-Hallum Capital Group -- Analyst

Okay. Great. I'll hop back in the queue. Thanks.

Laurie Hough -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question is from Matthew Bouley with Barclays. Please proceed.

Matthew Bouley -- Barclays -- Analyst

Good morning. Congrats on the results and to Keith on your retirement and welcome, Mark. I want to go back to the, I guess the US demand side, the comments around double-digit order growth in April. But at the same time, you mentioned that some destocking is still going to persist in certain regions.

So, how do we think about that balance? Or are you basically saying that you're seeing even stronger order growth, I guess outside of those particular regions? Is double-digit growth something you thinking kind of persist as we look at the balance of '19, just kind of -- or calendar '19? What's your sense of kind of where industry volumes can go for the rest of this year? Thank you.

Keith Anderson -- Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Matt. I think, overall, the double-digit order growth in April had a little bit of pent-up demand in it, overall from the weather and destocking. Retailers were waiting to put in orders until they could get their inventories out into the field. And so as the weather cooperated a little bit in certain regions, that facilitated that pickup in demand. I don't see double-digit growth necessarily overall.

I see kind of mid-single digit type growth year-over-year for the industry as a whole going forward. But I think it's really just a timing issue and it's encouraging to see that the orders are coming in April because like I said, end consumer demand is still very robust and strong and I think outpacing overall site-built market kind of demand levels we've seen recently.

Matthew Bouley -- Barclays -- Analyst

Got it. Perfect. That's helpful. And then just on the ASP side, up 17%. Did you quantify, I guess, how much of that was mix versus like-for-like pricing? Did you, I guess, enact any price increases during the quarter? Because obviously, as you kind of anniversary the acquisition later this year, just be kind of helpful to understand where like-for-like price is going. Thank you.

Keith Anderson -- Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, Matt. I think, overall, our average selling price was largely driven, especially in the quarter by mix. We've increased our park model sales and our modular business. They're now up to approximately a quarter of our total sales in those two markets. And those have a different selling price profile than the rest of our portfolio. So, I think that was a large driver of the average change in price quarter-over-quarter.

Matthew Bouley -- Barclays -- Analyst

All right. Appreciate it. Thanks, again, and congrats, guys.

Keith Anderson -- Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

Operator

Our next question is from Phil Ng with Jefferies. Please proceed.

Phil Ng -- Jefferies -- Analyst

Hey guys. Congrats on the strong quarter. Keith, it's been a pleasure working with you now. Congrats on the new role, Mark. I guess, first off, for me, you've seen pretty nice margin expansion in the last few years. Is there a good way to kind of think about longer term targets on EBITDA margins? Or a goal internally in terms of the margin expansion each year? And from a synergy and optimization standpoint, it would be helpful kind of give us a little more color or sense where you kind of are in that, based on analogy from a runway, what inning are you guys at this point?

Laurie Hough -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Sure, Phil. So the synergies that we mentioned in -- on the call were, we captured about $9 million of the synergies this year. So, we expect to get to our run-rate range by the end of December, end of the calendar year here, 2019, $12 million to $16 million. So, we're going to continue to see some margin expansion because of the additional synergies as well as some of our internal initiatives that we've been talking about over the last year or so. Standardizing products, shifting production from facilities in near campus settings to improve throughput and so forth. So long term, we expect EBITDA margins to reach the 10% level or so.

Phil Ng -- Jefferies -- Analyst

In terms of the pace, should we expect the pace you've seen last years continue or we should see some deceleration with the synergies kind of leveling off at this point?

Laurie Hough -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

A little bit of deceleration only because we have the start-up and ramp coming in of the Leesville and Pennsylvania facilities. And then as we continue to look at growth, both organically and via M&A, you're going to have some investments impacting the EBITDA margins as we go.

Phil Ng -- Jefferies -- Analyst

Got you. And then how are you thinking about inflation this year? I mean, lumber prices have obviously fell off pretty sharply and pricing has been pretty robust. So it'd be helpful to kind of give us a little sense on how you're thinking about pricing this year and then the potential impact with this big pullback in lumber prices.

Laurie Hough -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. So, we definitely benefited from that in the fourth quarter. From an inflation standpoint, we don't expect to see the roller coaster that we saw last year in material inflation. So, relatively small changes in inflation, but really hard to say with the impact of the tariffs as well.

Phil Ng -- Jefferies -- Analyst

Got it. Is the tariff piece a smaller piece? Or is it -- what part of your business would be impacted by the tariff impact?

Keith Anderson -- Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. I think, overall, we expect the tariffs to -- depending on the product mix to impact between 1% and 3%, depending on the product itself and really primarily plumbing, cabinetry, other products such as that, that are inputs into our production. So, it's a relatively small percent of our mix.

Phil Ng -- Jefferies -- Analyst

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question is from Mike Dahl of RBC Capital Markets. Please proceed.

Michael Eisen -- RBC Capital Markets -- Analyst

Good morning, everyone. Actually, Mike Eisen on for RBC. I'll start with my congrats to both Keith and Mark. Just wanted to follow up on some commentary around the margins and where you guys can go longer term. Can you help us think about in the quarter or maybe even in this year how much of the margin improvement came strictly from those productivity improvement initiatives, and how much runway from those, specifically, you see coming in the next couple of years?

Laurie Hough -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Sure. So, I would say that the margin improvement was split, pretty down the middle, like half for synergies and half for margin improvement in the most recent quarter, so -- I'm sorry, half from internal initiatives. So -- and going forward, obviously, we're going to see the additional synergies leaking in over the next few quarters here and then continue with margin improvement for the next couple of years longer term.

Michael Eisen -- RBC Capital Markets -- Analyst

Got it. That's helpful. And then maybe, Mark, you spoke a lot when you met with investors up at the Pennsylvania facility. Can you talk a little bit about your involvement in some of these initiatives, and where you personally think there's the most room for opportunity and where your focus is, as you take on leadership of the business?

Mark Yost -- Executive Vice President and President, US Operations

Sure, Mike. I think, overall, I think there's huge opportunity in the growth side of the business, both organically and through M&A as we go forward. Along with, on the operational side, now that the integration of the companies is largely behind us, still some lingering things that we're working through. But we're moving on to operational improvements within the organization, lean initiatives, automation and other activities to improve the efficiencies and expand the margins of the business go forward to do both, produce more because the demand is going to pick up and also to enhance the margins and what we do produce through internal efficiencies.

Michael Eisen -- RBC Capital Markets -- Analyst

Got it. Very helpful. And then one last one if I could sneak it in. Park and modular, up to a quarter of the business, I think that's a bigger ramp up than we would have expected. It seems that Corona facility should be up to five park models per week at this point. Can you give us any update on that? And ultimately, where you think park and modular could go as a percentage of the total production? Thanks and good luck.

Mark Yost -- Executive Vice President and President, US Operations

Thank you. Yes, I think the Corona facility and the park model production at that facility is at least at five per week and increasing from there. We have just launched the new park model plants on the campus of our Leola facility that started production in April. And that facility is ramping very well currently. So, we see the increases in park model sales overall throughout the country increasing very well.

Modular sales are growing throughout the country as well. Our inroads and the builder developer and site-built are going very well. And along with the introduction of the MH Advantage and MH Choice product that's supported by Fannie and Freddie, I think will help spur development with the builder developer channel as well because they're very interested in those products and the financing that is supported by the GSEs.

Operator

Our next question is from Rohit Seth with SunTrust. Please proceed.

Rohit Seth -- SunTrust Robinson Humphrey -- Analyst

Hey. Thanks for taking my question. Congrats to Mark and Keith. And I guess my first question is to Laurie. Last quarter, you commented on the EBITDA expectations for fiscal 2020. I'm wondering if you could provide us an update on that Street expectation about $115 million to $120 million. Is that still a reasonable expectation, and do you think an 8% EBITDA margin target is reasonable for the coming year?

Laurie Hough -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Rohit, we're not giving guidance as of now. We'd really like to reevaluate when we have period-over-period comparables, so taking a look at it maybe after the first or second quarter.

Rohit Seth -- SunTrust Robinson Humphrey -- Analyst

Got you. Thanks. And then, Mark, as a new CEO, do you -- where are you seeing your opportunities for cash spend? You mentioned M&A. Is there any -- can you provide any color? Is that on capacity side or you thinking about more on the distribution side?

Mark Yost -- Executive Vice President and President, US Operations

On the M&A side, I would say, we're looking at different channels both, looking at HUD expansion or manufacturing capacity expansion, along with potential distribution opportunities. We do look at both in the future. Investing in automation can also be a good balance to take a look and do very targeted spending over time on improving our facilities, which will mitigate risk and enhance margins.

Rohit Seth -- SunTrust Robinson Humphrey -- Analyst

Okay. All right. That's all I have for now. Thank you.

Mark Yost -- Executive Vice President and President, US Operations

Thank you.

Laurie Hough -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

Operator

(Operator Instructions) We have a follow-up question from Greg Palm with Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Please proceed.

Greg Palm -- Craig-Hallum Capital Group -- Analyst

Yeah. Thanks for sneaking in a couple of follow ups. Mark, you just sort of mentioned something interesting as it related to kind of the Fannie and Freddie programs, MH Advantage and Choice. So, I'm just curious. I mean, what's -- trying to understand the most bullish scenario for these programs. And if they're successful, how big of an opportunity there is to start placing these homes in developments and subdivisions, which presumably creates a pretty significant opportunity for you and others. So, can you just talk a little bit about that? How do you see that playing out over the coming years?

Mark Yost -- Executive Vice President and President, US Operations

Yeah. I think -- I think, Greg, that's a very good question because I think that's where the opportunity is. I think both the retail channel and the site-built developer worlds are both good avenues for MH Advantage and MH Choice products. So, I really think that's a way that we can enter into those markets. And so as you know, that's a large portion of the country and a large portion of the housing demand overall.

So it's a significant opportunity, which is the reason I think that those inroads by Fannie and Freddie and the support that they've given, making us on par financially with site-built. And given the affordability of our product vis-a-vis cycle, allows us to compete very well and it's a significant opportunity overall.

Greg Palm -- Craig-Hallum Capital Group -- Analyst

And should we assume that you're right now already having conversations with that new channel?

Mark Yost -- Executive Vice President and President, US Operations

Yes. We're already having conversations with that new channel and making inroads into that area. Along with the fact that one of the other hurdles, Greg, that is out there is all the regulatory environment that we've had over the time. And I think that's why it's a double win in our view because not only do we have the financing but we've actually seen, while there's been talk for years that there's going to be a reduce on the regulatory side of the equation. There's actually been action recently.

So, HUD just recently removed the AC letter requirement, the requirement that they've got for on-site inspections of carports. So, what that means and the reason that's important is just it's a different time horizon, different cost for site builders and other people when they're looking to do those type of additions. So previously, not only did you have the financial restrictions, you would actually go in and if you wanted to put a carport on to a manufactured house, you had to get a AC letter from HUD, which costs money and takes time.

In addition, you have to have the local inspection on the carport as well. So, you actually had two regulatory steps in the process, which costs money and time. And so now HUD has actually reduced that requirement. They've got another hundred requirements they're looking at to reduce and we're going to talk about that in Washington in the upcoming weeks as Skyline Champion is bringing houses to the National Mall in Washington in the upcoming weeks to talk with regulators about reducing regulatory concerns and targeting affordable housing for the country because we can solve that problem.

Greg Palm -- Craig-Hallum Capital Group -- Analyst

Great. All right. Thanks for all the color.

Operator

We now have Daniel Moore with follow-up questions from CJS Securities. Please proceed.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

Thank you, again. I know this is kind of a non-core, but just curios your thoughts around FEMA. Obviously, it's been almost a year now since you've had any material shipments. And there certainly has been plenty of activity. Any sense of where they are in terms of inventories and when you might see some activity or orders again sometime down the line?

Mark Yost -- Executive Vice President and President, US Operations

Again, there's nothing firm in place from FEMA. We've heard of indications that they may be doing a order of their new category of homes sometime late in the year. But there's nothing heard about that order process. So, nothing really to report on that front.

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

Okay. Again, appreciate the color. Thanks, Mark.

Mark Yost -- Executive Vice President and President, US Operations

Thank you.

Operator

That concludes the question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to management for closing remarks.

Keith Anderson -- Chief Executive Officer

Well, thank you all for your support and ongoing interest in the company. And we look forward to talking to you more in the future. Thank you.

Mark Yost -- Executive Vice President and President, US Operations

Thank you.

Operator

This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time and thank you for your participation.

Duration: 42 minutes

Call participants:

Keith Anderson -- Chief Executive Officer

Mark Yost -- Executive Vice President and President, US Operations

Laurie Hough -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Daniel Moore -- CJS Securities -- Analyst

Greg Palm -- Craig-Hallum Capital Group -- Analyst

Matthew Bouley -- Barclays -- Analyst

Phil Ng -- Jefferies -- Analyst

Michael Eisen -- RBC Capital Markets -- Analyst

Rohit Seth -- SunTrust Robinson Humphrey -- Analyst

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