Is It Smart To Buy Alico, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALCO) Before It Goes Ex-Dividend?

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Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Alico, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALCO) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. This means that investors who purchase shares on or after the 26th of March will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 10th of April.

Alico's upcoming dividend is US$0.09 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of US$0.24 per share to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Alico stock has a trailing yield of around 1.2% on the current share price of $28.94. We love seeing companies pay a dividend, but it's also important to be sure that laying the golden eggs isn't going to kill our golden goose! So we need to investigate whether Alico can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

Check out our latest analysis for Alico

Dividends are typically paid from company earnings. If a company pays more in dividends than it earned in profit, then the dividend could be unsustainable. Alico has a low and conservative payout ratio of just 4.9% of its income after tax. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. The good news is it paid out just 5.2% of its free cash flow in the last year.

It's positive to see that Alico's dividend is covered by both profits and cash flow, since this is generally a sign that the dividend is sustainable, and a lower payout ratio usually suggests a greater margin of safety before the dividend gets cut.

Click here to see how much of its profit Alico paid out over the last 12 months.

NasdaqGS:ALCO Historical Dividend Yield, March 21st 2020
NasdaqGS:ALCO Historical Dividend Yield, March 21st 2020

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with consistently growing earnings per share generally make the best dividend stocks, as they usually find it easier to grow dividends per share. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. That's why it's comforting to see Alico's earnings have been skyrocketing, up 34% per annum for the past five years. Alico earnings per share have been sprinting ahead like the Road Runner at a track and field day; scarcely stopping even for a cheeky "beep-beep". We also like that it is reinvesting most of its profits in its business.'

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Alico's dividend payments per share have declined at 4.1% per year on average over the past ten years, which is uninspiring. Alico is a rare case where dividends have been decreasing at the same time as earnings per share have been improving. It's unusual to see, and could point to unstable conditions in the core business, or more rarely an intensified focus on reinvesting profits.

To Sum It Up

Has Alico got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? It's great that Alico is growing earnings per share while simultaneously paying out a low percentage of both its earnings and cash flow. It's disappointing to see the dividend has been cut at least once in the past, but as things stand now, the low payout ratio suggests a conservative approach to dividends, which we like. Alico looks solid on this analysis overall, and we'd definitely consider investigating it more closely.

With that in mind, a critical part of thorough stock research is being aware of any risks that stock currently faces. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 3 warning signs with Alico and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

A common investment mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a list of promising dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

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