U.S. Markets close in 4 hrs 10 mins
  • S&P 500

    4,405.82
    +51.63 (+1.19%)
     
  • Dow 30

    34,360.37
    +440.53 (+1.30%)
     
  • Nasdaq

    14,905.85
    +159.45 (+1.08%)
     
  • Russell 2000

    2,224.17
    +37.98 (+1.74%)
     
  • Crude Oil

    70.51
    -0.05 (-0.07%)
     
  • Gold

    1,778.50
    +0.30 (+0.02%)
     
  • Silver

    22.80
    +0.23 (+1.01%)
     
  • EUR/USD

    1.1743
    +0.0012 (+0.1057%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    1.3160
    -0.0080 (-0.60%)
     
  • Vix

    21.26
    -3.10 (-12.73%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.3666
    +0.0001 (+0.0109%)
     
  • USD/JPY

    109.5830
    +0.3630 (+0.3324%)
     
  • BTC-USD

    44,590.88
    -3,435.44 (-7.15%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,073.66
    +33.18 (+3.19%)
     
  • FTSE 100

    7,081.04
    +100.06 (+1.43%)
     
  • Nikkei 225

    29,639.40
    -200.31 (-0.67%)
     

Has Southern Copper Corporation's (NYSE:SCCO) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
·4 min read
In this article:
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.

Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 28% over the last three months. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. Specifically, we decided to study Southern Copper's ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

See our latest analysis for Southern Copper

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Southern Copper is:

17% = US$1.2b ÷ US$6.9b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.17.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Southern Copper's Earnings Growth And 17% ROE

To start with, Southern Copper's ROE looks acceptable. On comparing with the average industry ROE of 11% the company's ROE looks pretty remarkable. Probably as a result of this, Southern Copper was able to see a decent growth of 13% over the last five years.

As a next step, we compared Southern Copper's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 33% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
past-earnings-growth

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. What is SCCO worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether SCCO is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Southern Copper Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Southern Copper has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 79%, meaning that it is left with only 21% to reinvest into its business. This implies that the company has been able to achieve decent earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.

Besides, Southern Copper has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 80% of its profits over the next three years. However, Southern Copper's ROE is predicted to rise to 25% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Summary

Overall, we feel that Southern Copper certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Its earnings have grown respectably as we saw earlier, which was likely due to the company reinvesting its earnings at a pretty high rate of return. However, given the high ROE, we do think that the company is reinvesting a small portion of its profits. This could likely be preventing the company from growing to its full extent. We also studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that the company's earnings growth is expected be similar to its current growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com.