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Southern Missouri Bancorp Inc (NASDAQ:SMBC) And The Financial Industry Prospect For 2018

Andrew Carroll

Southern Missouri Bancorp Inc (NASDAQ:SMBC), a US$357.2m small-cap, operates in the mortgage and thrifts industry, whose performance can be gauged by house price index and the stock market which are proxies for market confidence for credit. Financial services analysts are forecasting for the entire industry, a positive double-digit growth of 27.8% in the upcoming year , and a strong near-term growth of 26.1% over the next couple of years. However, this rate came in below the growth rate of the US stock market as a whole. Today, I’ll take you through the sector growth expectations, and also determine whether Southern Missouri Bancorp is a laggard or leader relative to its financial sector peers.

View our latest analysis for Southern Missouri Bancorp

What’s the catalyst for Southern Missouri Bancorp’s sector growth?

NasdaqGM:SMBC Past Future Earnings September 11th 18

The mortgage industry is characterized by stable product offerings, consolidation and increasing levels of external competition. Over the past year, the industry saw growth of 9.4%, though still underperforming the wider US stock market. Southern Missouri Bancorp leads the pack with its impressive earnings growth of 22.4% over the past year. However, analysts are not expecting this industry-beating trend to continue, with future growth expected to be 21.9% compared to the wider mortgage and thrifts sector growth hovering in the twenties next year. As a future industry laggard in growth, Southern Missouri Bancorp may be a cheaper stock relative to its peers.

Is Southern Missouri Bancorp and the sector relatively cheap?

NasdaqGM:SMBC PE PEG Gauge September 11th 18

The mortgage and thrifts industry is trading at a PE ratio of 19.87x, relatively similar to the rest of the US stock market PE of 19.86x. This illustrates a fairly valued sector relative to the rest of the market, indicating low mispricing opportunities. However, the industry returned a lower 6.4% compared to the market’s 10.6%, potentially indicative of past headwinds. On the stock-level, Southern Missouri Bancorp is trading at a PE ratio of 17.53x, which is relatively in-line with the average mortgage and thrifts stock. In terms of returns, Southern Missouri Bancorp generated 9.7% in the past year, which is 3.3% over the mortgage and thrifts sector.

Next Steps:

If Southern Missouri Bancorp has been on your watchlist for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The company is a mortgage and thrifts industry laggard in terms of its future growth outlook, and is trading relatively in-line with its peers. If growth and mispricing are important aspects for your investment thesis, there may be better investments in the financial sector. However, before you make a decision on the stock, I suggest you look at Southern Missouri Bancorp’s fundamentals in order to build a holistic investment thesis.

  1. Financial Health: Does it have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk.
  2. Historical Track Record: What has SMBC’s performance been like over the past? Go into more detail in the past track record analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of our analysis for more clarity.
  3. Other High-Growth Alternatives : Are there other high-growth stocks you could be holding instead of Southern Missouri Bancorp? Explore our interactive list of stocks with large growth potential to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.