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SPX500 Sentiment Plainly Favors Record Highs

David Rodriguez

ssi_spx500_body_Picture_16.png, SPX500 Sentiment Plainly Favors Record Highs

SPX500At the risk of sounding repetitive, retail CFD speculators remain aggressively short the SPX500 contract and we maintain our contrarian forecasts for further record-peaks.

Trade Implications – According to our proprietary trader positioning data, there are currently 6.2 open positions short the SPX500 for every one that is long. That sounds like extremely one-sided sentiment, and it is. But it’s worth noting that we’ve seen the same ratio go as high as 12:1 in the past two months.

Warning signs on a potentially significant turnaround are everywhere, but as long as the crowd continues to sell in anticipation of a peak we’re unlikely to see an important turnaround.

--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com

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