Entrepreneur-turned-venture capitalist Steve Case sees a shift in startup funding money that’s moving from hotspots like California to the middle of the country.
At the Greenwich Economic Forum earlier this month, the founder of Internet pioneer AOL told attendees that California — particular Silicon Valley — will remain the preeminent ecosystem. However, he argued there's a "great arbitrage" happening in the middle of the country, and venture capitalists are missing out on it.
"It's crazy that essentially we're putting all our eggs in that basket and we're not diversifying more,” Case said.
“And, we're missing out, as investors, on what's a great arbitrage because the valuations in other places around the country, because of the classic Econ 101 supply and demand, are lower,” he added.
Case pointed out that venture capital overwhelmingly flows to a small group of coastal states. According to the National Venture Capital Association (NVCA), 75% of startup cash in 2018 went to California, New York, and Massachusetts. More than 50% went to California alone, the data show.
‘Broader political implications’
Case started his D.C.-based venture capital firm, Revolution, back in 2005. In 2017, the firm launched its Rise of the Rest seed fund to identify promising startup ecosystems, and invest in companies in the middle of the country.
To date, Rise of The Rest has invested in more than 100 companies across more than 30 states. Case added that one of the "untold" stories is that they also see multi-billion-dollar exits in places outside of the coasts — a trend he expects to continue.
"More entrepreneurs will get backed in more parts of the country. More big companies will build. More jobs will be created. That will have some broader political implications, as well,” he told forum attendees.
“To me, it feels a little like the Internet 35 years ago when nobody, other than a few...believed in the idea of the internet. And people, when I was talking about it, were skeptical," Case added.
"Over time, I think you'll see venture capital shift. The coastal investors will need to have regional investment strategies," Case said.
Venture capital pioneer Alan Patricof, who backed Case's AOL, added that one of the challenges in investing in these parts of the country is attracting the technical talent to help companies scale.
However, Case said it's really about getting people to move back to those cities and slow the "brain drain" by creating opportunities locally to keep people and get the "boomerang of people returning."
The Rise of the Rest fund garnered big backers, including John Doerr, Jim Breyer, Henry Kravis, David Rubenstein, Eric Schmidt, Tory Burch, Ray Dalio, and Howard Schultz, to name a few.
And just last month, Case announced a second Rise of the Rest that's also attracted big bakers like Sara Blakely, Jeff Bezos, Kevin Plank, and many others.