How to Find Strong Retail-Wholesale Stocks Slated for Positive Earnings Surprises

·2 min read

Wall Street watches a company's quarterly report closely to understand as much as possible about its recent performance and what to expect going forward. Of course, one figure often stands out among the rest: earnings.

We know earnings results are vital, but how a company performs compared to bottom line expectations can be even more important when it comes to stock prices, especially in the near-term. This means that investors might want to take advantage of these earnings surprises.

2 Stocks to Add to Your Watchlist

The Zacks Earnings ESP is more formally known as the Expected Surprise Prediction, and it aims to grab the inside track on the latest analyst estimate revisions ahead of a company's report. The idea is relatively intuitive as a newer projection might be based on more complete information. The ESP is calculated by comparing the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the percentage difference between the two giving us the Zacks ESP figure.

The final step today is to look at a stock that meets our ESP qualifications. McDonald's (MCD) earns a Zacks Rank #3 28 days from its next quarterly earnings release on April 27, 2023, and its Most Accurate Estimate comes in at $2.41 a share.

McDonald's' Earnings ESP sits at 5.62%, which, as explained above, is calculated by taking the percentage difference between the $2.41 Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.28.

MCD is just one of a large group of Retail-Wholesale stocks with a positive ESP figure. Costco (COST) is another qualifying stock you may want to consider.

Slated to report earnings on May 25, 2023, Costco holds a #3 (Hold) ranking on the Zacks Rank, and it's Most Accurate Estimate is $3.36 a share 56 days from its next quarterly update.

The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Costco is $3.36, and when you take the percentage difference between that number and its Most Accurate Estimate, you get the Earnings ESP figure of 0.05%.

MCD and COST's positive ESP metrics may signal that a positive earnings surprise for both stocks is on the horizon.

Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported

Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>

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McDonald's Corporation (MCD) : Free Stock Analysis Report

Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) : Free Stock Analysis Report

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