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Target Corporation (NYSE:TGT): What Does The Future Look Like?

Simply Wall St

Target Corporation's (NYSE:TGT) most recent earnings update in February 2019 suggested that the business benefited from a small tailwind, eventuating to a single-digit earnings growth of 0.8%. Below, I've laid out key growth figures on how market analysts perceive Target's earnings growth trajectory over the next few years and whether the future looks even brighter than the past. I will be looking at earnings excluding extraordinary items to exclude one-off activities to get a better understanding of the underlying drivers of earnings.

Check out our latest analysis for Target

Market analysts' consensus outlook for the upcoming year seems rather muted, with earnings climbing by a single digit 2.0%. The following year doesn't look much more exciting, though earnings does reach US$3.1b in 2022.

NYSE:TGT Past and Future Earnings, April 18th 2019

Although it is informative knowing the growth year by year relative to today’s value, it may be more insightful to analyze the rate at which the company is growing on average every year. The advantage of this approach is that we can get a bigger picture of the direction of Target's earnings trajectory over the long run, irrespective of near term fluctuations, which may be more relevant for long term investors. To calculate this rate, I've inserted a line of best fit through analyst consensus of forecasted earnings. The slope of this line is the rate of earnings growth, which in this case is 3.6%. This means that, we can expect Target will grow its earnings by 3.6% every year for the next few years.

Next Steps:

For Target, I've put together three relevant aspects you should look at:

  1. Financial Health: Does it have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk.
  2. Valuation: What is TGT worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether TGT is currently mispriced by the market.
  3. Other High-Growth Alternatives: Are there other high-growth stocks you could be holding instead of TGT? Explore our interactive list of stocks with large growth potential to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.