Shares of Tech Data (TECD) have been strong performers lately, with the stock up 7.1% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $112.5 in the previous session. Tech Data has gained 36.1% since the start of the year compared to the 20.2% move for the Zacks Retail-Wholesale sector and the 33.7% return for the Zacks Retail - Computer Hardware industry.
What's Driving the Outperformance?
The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on August 29, 2019, Tech Data reported EPS of $2.69 versus consensus estimate of $2.33.
For the current fiscal year, Tech Data is expected to post earnings of $12.46 per share on $37.36 billion in revenues. This represents a 9.49% change in EPS on a 0.33% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $12.98 per share on $38.18 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 4.19% and 2.2%, respectively.
Tech Data may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company is due for a pullback from this level.
On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as they provide investors with an additional way to sort through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. Investors should consider the style scores a valuable tool that can help you to pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.
Tech Data has a Value Score of A. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are D and C, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.
In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 8.9X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 6.5X versus its peer group's average of 9.8X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 2.3. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.
We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Tech Data currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.
Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Tech Data meets the list of requirements. Thus, it seems as though Tech Data shares could still be poised for more gains ahead.
How Does Tech Data Stack Up to the Competition?
Shares of Tech Data have been moving higher, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? Some of its industry peers are also solid potential picks, including Burlington Stores (BURL), Stamps.com (STMP), and Booking Holdings (BKNG), all of which currently have a Zacks Rank of at least #2 and a VGM Score of at least B, making them well-rounded choices.
The Zacks Industry Rank is in the top 9% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for Tech Data, even beyond its own solid fundamental situation.
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