Should You Be Tempted To Buy Willis Lease Finance Corporation (NASDAQ:WLFC) At Its Current PE Ratio?

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The content of this article will benefit those of you who are starting to educate yourself about investing in the stock market and want to begin learning about how to value company based on its current earnings and what are the drawbacks of this method.

Willis Lease Finance Corporation (NASDAQ:WLFC) is trading with a trailing P/E of 3.4x, which is lower than the industry average of 16.1x. Although some investors may jump to the conclusion that this is a great buying opportunity, understanding the assumptions behind the P/E ratio might change your mind. Today, I will break down what the P/E ratio is, how to interpret it and what to watch out for.

See our latest analysis for Willis Lease Finance

Breaking down the P/E ratio

NasdaqGM:WLFC PE PEG Gauge September 11th 18
NasdaqGM:WLFC PE PEG Gauge September 11th 18

P/E is a popular ratio used for relative valuation. It compares a stock’s price per share to the stock’s earnings per share. A more intuitive way of understanding the P/E ratio is to think of it as how much investors are paying for each dollar of the company’s earnings.

P/E Calculation for WLFC

Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share

WLFC Price-Earnings Ratio = $34.35 ÷ $10.046 = 3.4x

The P/E ratio itself doesn’t tell you a lot; however, it becomes very insightful when you compare it with other similar companies. Our goal is to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar attributes to WLFC, such as company lifetime and products sold. One way of gathering a peer group is to use firms in the same industry, which is what I’ll do. At 3.4, WLFC’s P/E is lower than its industry peers (16.1). This implies that investors are undervaluing each dollar of WLFC’s earnings. This multiple is a median of profitable companies of 24 Trade Distributors companies in US including Star Struck, AeroCentury and Air Lease. You can think of it like this: the market is suggesting that WLFC is a weaker business than the average comparable company.

Assumptions to be aware of

However, there are two important assumptions you should be aware of. Firstly, our peer group contains companies that are similar to WLFC. If this isn’t the case, the difference in P/E could be due to other factors. For example, if you compared lower risk firms with WLFC, then investors would naturally value it at a lower price since it is a riskier investment. The second assumption that must hold true is that the stocks we are comparing WLFC to are fairly valued by the market. If this does not hold true, WLFC’s lower P/E ratio may be because firms in our peer group are overvalued by the market.

What this means for you:

Since you may have already conducted your due diligence on WLFC, the undervaluation of the stock may mean it is a good time to top up on your current holdings. But at the end of the day, keep in mind that relative valuation relies heavily on critical assumptions I’ve outlined above. Remember that basing your investment decision off one metric alone is certainly not sufficient. There are many things I have not taken into account in this article and the PE ratio is very one-dimensional. If you have not done so already, I urge you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for WLFC’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for WLFC’s outlook.

  2. Past Track Record: Has WLFC been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of WLFC’s historicals for more clarity.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.

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