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Thermon Group Holdings, Inc. (THR) Soars to 52-Week High, Time to Cash Out?

Have you been paying attention to shares of Thermon Group (THR)? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 20.4% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $19.71 in the previous session. Thermon Group has gained 14.8% since the start of the year compared to the -32.1% move for the Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the -16.2% return for the Zacks Instruments - Control industry.

What's Driving the Outperformance?

The stock has an impressive record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on November 3, 2022, Thermon Group reported EPS of $0.38 versus consensus estimate of $0.21.

For the current fiscal year, Thermon Group is expected to post earnings of $1.35 per share on $412.63 million in revenues. This represents a 62.65% change in EPS on a 16.01% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $1.51 per share on $433.26 million in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 11.85% and 5%, respectively.

Valuation Metrics

Thermon Group may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.

On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as these give investors a variety of ways to comb through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.

Thermon Group has a Value Score of C. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are B and A, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.

In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 14.4X current fiscal year EPS estimates, which is not in-line with the peer industry average of 21.8X. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 13.3X versus its peer group's average of 18.6X. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.

Zacks Rank

We also need to consider the stock's Zacks Rank, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Thermon Group currently has a Zacks Rank of #1 (Strong Buy) thanks to favorable earnings estimate revisions from covering analysts.

Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Thermon Group meets the list of requirements. Thus, it seems as though Thermon Group shares could have a bit more room to run in the near term.

How Does THR Stack Up to the Competition?

Shares of THR have been soaring, and the company still appears to be a decent choice, but what about the rest of the industry? One industry peer that looks good is Watts Water Technologies, Inc. (WTS). WTS has a Zacks Rank of # 2 (Buy) and a Value Score of C, a Growth Score of C, and a Momentum Score of A.

Earnings were strong last quarter. Watts Water Technologies, Inc. beat our consensus estimate by 14.01%, and for the current fiscal year, WTS is expected to post earnings of $6.81 per share on revenue of $1.96 billion.

Shares of Watts Water Technologies, Inc. have gained 20.2% over the past month, and currently trade at a forward P/E of 21.56X and a P/CF of 22.01X.

The Instruments - Control industry is in the top 14% of all the industries we have in our universe, so it looks like there are some nice tailwinds for THR and WTS, even beyond their own solid fundamental situation.

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