DiamondRock Hospitality Company (NYSE:DRH), which is in the reits business, and is based in United States, maintained its current share price over the past couple of month on the NYSE, with a relatively tight range of $10.35 to $11.05. However, does this price actually reflect the true value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at DiamondRock Hospitality’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
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What's the opportunity in DiamondRock Hospitality?
According to my valuation model, DiamondRock Hospitality seems to be fairly priced at around 13% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy DiamondRock Hospitality today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $12.5, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since DiamondRock Hospitality’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
What does the future of DiamondRock Hospitality look like?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of DiamondRock Hospitality, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -7.9%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? DRH seems fairly priced right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on DRH for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The stock appears to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystalize your views on DRH should the price fluctuate below its true value.
Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on DiamondRock Hospitality. You can find everything you need to know about DiamondRock Hospitality in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in DiamondRock Hospitality, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at email@example.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.