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Should You Think About Buying Erste Group Bank AG (VIE:EBS) Now?

Simply Wall St

Let's talk about the popular Erste Group Bank AG (VIE:EBS). The company's shares saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the WBAG. With many analysts covering the large-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s take a look at Erste Group Bank’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for Erste Group Bank

What is Erste Group Bank worth?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 8.7% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Erste Group Bank today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth €36.84, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Erste Group Bank’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What kind of growth will Erste Group Bank generate?

WBAG:EBS Past and Future Earnings, January 16th 2020

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Erste Group Bank, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -3.9%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? EBS seems fairly priced right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on EBS for a while, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The stock appears to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystalize your views on EBS should the price fluctuate below its true value.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Erste Group Bank. You can find everything you need to know about Erste Group Bank in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Erste Group Bank, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.