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How Should You Think About Frontline Gold Corporation’s (CVE:FGC) Risks?

Julian Fleming

For Frontline Gold Corporation’s (TSXV:FGC) shareholders, and also potential investors in the stock, understanding how the stock’s risk and return characteristics can impact your portfolio is important. The beta measures FGC’s exposure to the wider market risk, which reflects changes in economic and political factors. Different characteristics of a stock expose it to various levels of market risk, and the market as a whole represents a beta value of one. A stock with a beta greater than one is considered more sensitive to market-wide shocks compared to a stock that trades below the value of one.

View our latest analysis for Frontline Gold

What does FGC’s beta value mean?

Frontline Gold has a beta of 3.46, which means that the percentage change in its stock value will be higher than the entire market in times of booms and busts. A high level of beta means investors face higher risk associated with potential gains and losses driven by market movements. Based on this beta value, FGC will help diversify your portfolio, if it currently comprises of low-beta stocks. This will be beneficial for portfolio returns, in particular, when current market sentiment is positive.

Could FGC’s size and industry cause it to be more volatile?

FGC, with its market capitalisation of CA$2.11M, is a small-cap stock, which generally have higher beta than similar companies of larger size. In addition to size, FGC also operates in the metals and mining industry, which has commonly demonstrated strong reactions to market-wide shocks. As a result, we should expect higher beta for small-cap stocks in a cyclical industry compared to larger stocks in a defensive industry. This is consistent with FGC’s individual beta value we discussed above. Next, we will examine the fundamental factors which can cause cyclicality in the stock.

TSXV:FGC Income Statement May 31st 18

How FGC’s assets could affect its beta

During times of economic downturn, low demand may cause companies to readjust production of their goods and services. It is more difficult for companies to lower their cost, if the majority of these costs are generated by fixed assets. Therefore, this is a type of risk which is associated with higher beta. I test FGC’s ratio of fixed assets to total assets in order to determine how high the risk is associated with this type of constraint. With a fixed-assets-to-total-assets ratio of greater than 30%, FGC appears to be a company that invests a large amount of capital in assets that are hard to scale down on short-notice. As a result, this aspect of FGC indicates a higher beta than a similar size company with a lower portion of fixed assets on their balance sheet. Similarly, FGC’s beta value conveys the same message.

What this means for you:

You could benefit from higher returns from FGC during times of economic growth. Its higher fixed cost isn’t a major concern given margins are covered with high consumer demand. Though, in times of a downturn, it may be safe to look at a more defensive stock which can cushion the impact of lower demand. In order to fully understand whether FGC is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Frontline Gold’s financial health and performance track record. I urge you to complete your research by taking a look at the following:

  1. Financial Health: Is FGC’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.
  2. Past Track Record: Has FGC been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of FGC’s historicals for more clarity.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.