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How Should You Think About Vince Holding Corp’s (VNCE) Risks?

Dane Simmons

If you are a shareholder in Vince Holding Corp’s (NYSE:VNCE), or are thinking about investing in the company, knowing how it contributes to the risk and reward profile of your portfolio is important. VNCE is exposed to market-wide risk, which arises from investing in the stock market. This risk reflects changes in economic and political factors that affects all stocks, and is measured by its beta. Not all stocks are expose to the same level of market risk, and the market as a whole represents a beta of one. A stock with a beta greater than one is considered more sensitive to market-wide shocks compared to a stock that trades below the value of one.

Check out our latest analysis for Vince Holding

What is VNCE’s market risk?

Vince Holding has a beta of 1.96, which means that the percentage change in its stock value will be higher than the entire market in times of booms and busts. A high level of beta means investors face higher risk associated with potential gains and losses driven by market movements. According to this value of beta, VNCE can help magnify your portfolio return, especially if it is predominantly made up of low-beta stocks. If the market is going up, a higher exposure to the upside from a high-beta stock can push up your portfolio return.

How does VNCE’s size and industry impact its risk?

A market capitalisation of USD $56.35M puts VNCE in the category of small-cap stocks, which tends to possess higher beta than larger companies. Moreover, VNCE’s industry, textiles, apparel and luxury goods, is considered to be cyclical, which means it is more volatile than the market over the economic cycle. So, investors should expect a larger beta for smaller companies operating in a cyclical industry in contrast with lower beta for larger firms in a more defensive industry. This supports our interpretation of VNCE’s beta value discussed above. Fundamental factors can also drive the cyclicality of the stock, which we will take a look at next.

NYSE:VNCE Income Statement Oct 21st 17

How VNCE’s assets could affect its beta

During times of economic downturn, low demand may cause companies to readjust production of their goods and services. It is more difficult for companies to lower their cost, if the majority of these costs are generated by fixed assets. Therefore, this is a type of risk which is associated with higher beta. I examine VNCE’s ratio of fixed assets to total assets to see whether the company is highly exposed to the risk of this type of constraint. Given a fixed to total assets ratio of over 30%, VNCE seems to be a company which invests a big chunk of its capital on assets that cannot be scaled down on short-notice. Thus, we can expect VNCE to be more volatile in the face of market movements, relative to its peers of similar size but with a lower proportion of fixed assets on their books. This is consistent with is current beta value which also indicates high volatility.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? You could benefit from higher returns from VNCE during times of economic growth. Its higher fixed cost isn’t a major concern given margins are covered with high consumer demand. However, in times of a downturn, it may be safe to look at a more defensive stock which can cushion the impact of lower demand. For next steps, take a look at VNCE’s outlook to see what analysts are expecting for the stock on our free analysis plaform here.

Are you a potential investor? I recommend that you look into VNCE’s fundamental factors such as its current valuation and financial health as well. Take into account your portfolio sensitivity to the market before you invest in the stock, as well as where we are in the current economic cycle. VNCE may be a great investment during times of economic growth. Continue your research on the stock with our free fundamental research report for VNCE here.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.