Those Who Purchased Chatham Lodging Trust (NYSE:CLDT) Shares Five Years Ago Have A 76% Loss To Show For It

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Statistically speaking, long term investing is a profitable endeavour. But along the way some stocks are going to perform badly. For example, after five long years the Chatham Lodging Trust (NYSE:CLDT) share price is a whole 76% lower. We certainly feel for shareholders who bought near the top. And we doubt long term believers are the only worried holders, since the stock price has declined 66% over the last twelve months. Furthermore, it's down 61% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.

See our latest analysis for Chatham Lodging Trust

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Looking back five years, both Chatham Lodging Trust's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 30% per year. The share price decline of 25% per year isn't as bad as the EPS decline. The relatively muted share price reaction might be because the market expects the business to turn around.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

NYSE:CLDT Past and Future Earnings April 28th 2020
NYSE:CLDT Past and Future Earnings April 28th 2020

This free interactive report on Chatham Lodging Trust's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

Investors should note that there's a difference between Chatham Lodging Trust's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price change, which we've covered above. The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Chatham Lodging Trust's TSR, which was a 67% drop over the last 5 years, was not as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 2.1% in the twelve months, Chatham Lodging Trust shareholders did even worse, losing 64%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 20% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Chatham Lodging Trust better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Chatham Lodging Trust (2 don't sit too well with us) that you should be aware of.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

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