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Taking the occasional loss comes part and parcel with investing on the stock market. And unfortunately for CreativeForge Games S.A. (WSE:CFG) shareholders, the stock is a lot lower today than it was a year ago. In that relatively short period, the share price has plunged 60%. Because CreativeForge Games hasn't been listed for many years, the market is still learning about how the business performs. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 21% in the last 90 days.
CreativeForge Games recorded just zł3,073,673 in revenue over the last twelve months, which isn't really enough for us to consider it to have a proven product. We can't help wondering why it's publicly listed so early in its journey. Are venture capitalists not interested? So it seems that the investors focused more on what could be, than paying attention to the current revenues (or lack thereof). Investors will be hoping that CreativeForge Games can make progress and gain better traction for the business, before it runs low on cash.
We think companies that have neither significant revenues nor profits are pretty high risk. There is usually a significant chance that they will need more money for business development, putting them at the mercy of capital markets. So the share price itself impacts the value of the shares (as it determines the cost of capital). While some such companies go on to make revenue, profits, and generate value, others get hyped up by hopeful naifs before eventually going bankrupt. CreativeForge Games has already given some investors a taste of the bitter losses that high risk investing can cause.
CreativeForge Games had liabilities exceeding cash by zł1,514,825 when it last reported in March 2019, according to our data. That makes it extremely high risk, in our view. But with the share price diving 60% in the last year, it's probably fair to say that some shareholders no longer believe the company will succeed. The image below shows how CreativeForge Games's balance sheet has changed over time; if you want to see the precise values, simply click on the image.
Of course, the truth is that it is hard to value companies without much revenue or profit. Would it bother you if insiders were selling the stock? I would feel more nervous about the company if that were so. You can click here to see if there are insiders selling.
A Different Perspective
We doubt CreativeForge Games shareholders are happy with the loss of 60% over twelve months. That falls short of the market, which lost 1.1%. There's no doubt that's a disappointment, but the stock may well have fared better in a stronger market. The share price decline has continued throughout the most recent three months, down 21%, suggesting an absence of enthusiasm from investors. Given the relatively short history of this stock, we'd remain pretty wary until we see some strong business performance. Shareholders might want to examine this detailed historical graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
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Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on PL exchanges.
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If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at email@example.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.