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Those Who Purchased Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) (HKG:417) Shares Five Years Ago Have A 47% Loss To Show For It

Simply Wall St

For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) Limited (HKG:417) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 47% over a half decade. We also note that the stock has performed poorly over the last year, with the share price down 30%. Furthermore, it's down 20% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 9.4% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.

See our latest analysis for Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International)

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Looking back five years, both Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International)'s share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 6.4% per year. Readers should note that the share price has fallen faster than the EPS, at a rate of 12% per year, over the period. This implies that the market is more cautious about the business these days. The low P/E ratio of 6.41 further reflects this reticence.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

SEHK:417 Past and Future Earnings, August 8th 2019

It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International), it has a TSR of -40% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) shareholders are down 28% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 10%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 9.6% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. Before spending more time on Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.

But note: Tse Sui Luen Jewellery (International) may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on HK exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.