U.S. Markets closed
  • S&P Futures

    3,334.00
    -12.00 (-0.36%)
     
  • Dow Futures

    27,399.00
    -83.00 (-0.30%)
     
  • Nasdaq Futures

    11,348.00
    -46.75 (-0.41%)
     
  • Russell 2000 Futures

    1,503.60
    -2.90 (-0.19%)
     
  • Crude Oil

    39.12
    -1.48 (-3.65%)
     
  • Gold

    1,901.90
    +19.60 (+1.04%)
     
  • Silver

    24.44
    +0.84 (+3.56%)
     
  • EUR/USD

    1.1741
    +0.0073 (+0.6223%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    0.6460
    -0.0170 (-2.56%)
     
  • Vix

    26.20
    +0.01 (+0.04%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.2864
    +0.0023 (+0.1762%)
     
  • USD/JPY

    105.6770
    +0.1580 (+0.1497%)
     
  • BTC-USD

    10,822.82
    -21.39 (-0.20%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    230.20
    +0.53 (+0.23%)
     
  • FTSE 100

    5,897.50
    -30.43 (-0.51%)
     
  • Nikkei 225

    23,539.10
    +27.48 (+0.12%)
     

Timing the Market, Is it Possible? - August 13, 2020

Zacks Equity Research

There is no better feeling for an investor than trusting your gut or doing your research and timing the markets correctly, right?

Indeed, even among those investors who don't try to consistently time the markets, many think they can still call a top and act opportunistically. It's at these times when an investor who speculates often sits on the sidelines and looks for better opportunities to put money into the market.

Individual investors who focus their efforts on timing the market typically miss chances. For example, many investors have overlooked chances to benefit from buying the Auto-Tires-Trucks stocks at the first opportunity, by attempting to buy them during a pullback only to see these stocks accomplish new unsurpassed highs: Aisin Seiki Co. Ltd. Unsponsored ADR (ASEKY), Auto Trader Group (ATDRY), American Axle Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (AXL), Workhorse Group, Inc. (WKHS), Gentherm Inc (THRM)

Fear and greed often lead investors into behavioral traps since most investors are followers who react, rather than anticipate market moves.

Fruitful market timing requires three key parts: 1) A solid sign to guide you when to get in and out of stocks (or securities, gold or different kinds of investments). 2) The capacity to act on the sign accurately. 3) The control to follow up on it.

Many investors believe that market timing is a short-term investment strategy. There is a less known, more effective, longer-term market timing approach that has been used successfully by astute investors like Warren Buffet.

Rule 1: Why trying to time the tops and bottoms of the market is a dead end.

Forget tracking for market tops or bottoms to expand your odds for success with a longer timeline and give yourself the flexibility to eventually profit, regardless of whether your calls are spot-on or way off-base.

Rule 2: Try not to sell amid little crashes - instead exploit the opportunity by buying.

Warren Buffett has made a great part of his fortune due to this simple rule. He cautions not to sell amid little crashes and to instead endure the temporary hardship and profit by concentrating on the long haul.

There is a big difference between a stock market crash and small correction. The theory is that if you like and bought a stock at a previous valuation prior to the correction, you should love the opportunity to this same at a steep discount since the underlying fundamentals are most likely still intact. Warren Buffett takes this thought a notch higher and frequently goes on a buying binge when markets turn, purchasing additional shares of his favorite stocks at a major markdown and tuning in to his own recommendation of being greedy when others are scared, and being scared when others are greedy.

When It Comes to Trading Your Retirement, A Risk Adjusted Trading Strategy Should be Followed

It's only human that many succumb to greed and try and game the system by timing the market. But, think about this: Nobel Laureate William Sharpe found in 1975 that a market timer would need to be precise 74% of the time to beat a passive portfolio. Even a slight outperformance probably wouldn't be worth the energy - and given that even the experts generally fail at it, market timing shouldn't be your exclusive investing strategy of choice, especially using assets earmarked for your retirement.

Chasing alpha, outsized, short - term returns through market timing and other high - risk bets is acceptable only within a small part of your investable resources, however for your long - term retirement assets a 'risk-adjusted' investment discipline is what largely bodes well.

If you'd like to learn how to 'super-charge' your retirement assets, get our free report:

Will You Retire as a Multi-Millionaire? 7 Things You Can Do Now.


This report can help you maximize your retirement nest-egg without the high risk of attempting to successfully time the markets. Click here for free report>>
 
Aisin Seiki Co. Ltd. Unsponsored ADR (ASEKY) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
American Axle Manufacturing Holdings, Inc. (AXL) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Gentherm Inc (THRM) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Workhorse Group, Inc. (WKHS) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
Auto Trader Group (ATDRY) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
To read this article on Zacks.com click here.
 
Zacks Investment Research