Is It Too Late To Buy Tecogen Inc (TGEN)?
Tecogen Inc (NASDAQ:TGEN), a building products company based in United States, saw significant share price volatility over the past couple of months on the NasdaqCM, rising to the highs of $3.37 and falling to the lows of $2.32. This high level of volatility gives investors the opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at an artificially low price. A question to answer is whether TGEN’s current trading price of $2.46 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at TGEN’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change. Check out our latest analysis for Tecogen
What’s the opportunity in TGEN?
According to my valuation model, TGEN seems to be fairly priced at around 16% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy TGEN today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe TGEN’s true value is $2.11, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since TGEN’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much TGEN moves relative to the rest of the market.
What does the future of TGEN look like?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With revenues expected to grow by 70.30% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for TGEN. If the level of expenses is able to be maintained, it looks like higher cash flows is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? TGEN’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at TGEN? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on TGEN, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for TGEN, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Tecogen. You can find everything you need to know about TGEN in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Tecogen, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.
The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.
