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Bilfinger SE (FRA:GBF), which is in the commercial services business, and is based in Germany, saw significant share price movement during recent months on the DB, rising to highs of €34.44 and falling to the lows of €24.56. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Bilfinger's current trading price of €26.54 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Bilfinger’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
What is Bilfinger worth?
The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 8.37% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Bilfinger today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth €24.49, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Bilfinger’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
Can we expect growth from Bilfinger?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a relatively muted revenue growth of 7.1% expected over the next couple of years, growth doesn’t seem like a key driver for a buy decision for Bilfinger, at least in the short term.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? GBF’s future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on GBF, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Bilfinger. You can find everything you need to know about Bilfinger in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Bilfinger, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at email@example.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.