Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Pact Group Holdings Ltd (ASX:PGH)?
While Pact Group Holdings Ltd (ASX:PGH) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the ASX over the last few months. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s take a look at Pact Group Holdings’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.
See our latest analysis for Pact Group Holdings
What's the opportunity in Pact Group Holdings?
According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 33%, trading at AU$3.50 compared to my intrinsic value of A$2.64. This means that the opportunity to buy Pact Group Holdings at a good price has disappeared! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Pact Group Holdings’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
What kind of growth will Pact Group Holdings generate?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Pact Group Holdings, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the next few years, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? If you believe PGH should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. Given the risk from a negative growth outlook, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on PGH for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. Its price has risen beyond its true value, on top of a negative future outlook. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Should the price fall in the future, will you be well-informed enough to buy?
If you'd like to know more about Pact Group Holdings as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, Pact Group Holdings has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
If you are no longer interested in Pact Group Holdings, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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