Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Travis Perkins plc (LON:TPK)?

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Travis Perkins plc (LON:TPK), which is in the trade distributors business, and is based in United Kingdom, saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the LSE. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s examine Travis Perkins’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for Travis Perkins

What is Travis Perkins worth?

According to my valuation model, Travis Perkins seems to be fairly priced at around 2.1% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Travis Perkins today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth £9.53, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Travis Perkins’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What does the future of Travis Perkins look like?

LSE:TPK Past and Future Earnings April 9th 2020
LSE:TPK Past and Future Earnings April 9th 2020

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Travis Perkins’s earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 94%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in TPK’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on TPK, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Travis Perkins. You can find everything you need to know about Travis Perkins in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Travis Perkins, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.

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