In December 2018, UCB SA (EBR:UCB) announced its most recent earnings update, which revealed that the company benefited from a small tailwind, leading to a single-digit earnings growth of 5.3%. Investors may find it useful to understand how market analysts predict UCB’s earnings growth trajectory over the next couple of years and whether the future looks even brighter than the past. Note that I will be looking at net income excluding extraordinary items to get a better understanding of the underlying drivers of earnings.
Analysts’ expectations for the coming year seems pessimistic, with earnings falling by -3.5%. But in the following year, there is a complete contrast in performance, with generating double digit 6.5% compared to today’s level and continues to increase to €948m in 2022.
While it’s informative understanding the growth rate each year relative to today’s figure, it may be more valuable determining the rate at which the business is growing every year, on average. The benefit of this technique is that we can get a bigger picture of the direction of UCB’s earnings trajectory over the long run, irrespective of near term fluctuations, which may be more relevant for long term investors. To compute this rate, I’ve inserted a line of best fit through the forecasted earnings by market analysts. The slope of this line is the rate of earnings growth, which in this case is 4.6%. This means that, we can expect UCB will grow its earnings by 4.6% every year for the next couple of years.
For UCB, I’ve put together three fundamental factors you should further examine:
- Financial Health: Does it have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk.
- Valuation: What is UCB worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether UCB is currently mispriced by the market.
- Other High-Growth Alternatives: Are there other high-growth stocks you could be holding instead of UCB? Explore our interactive list of stocks with large growth potential to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!
We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at firstname.lastname@example.org. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.