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Here’s What United Bancorp, Inc.’s (NASDAQ:UBCP) P/E Ratio Is Telling Us

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Lacy Summers
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The goal of this article is to teach you how to use price to earnings ratios (P/E ratios). We’ll look at United Bancorp, Inc.’s (NASDAQ:UBCP) P/E ratio and reflect on what it tells us about the company’s share price. United Bancorp has a P/E ratio of 13.46, based on the last twelve months. In other words, at today’s prices, investors are paying $13.46 for every $1 in prior year profit.

View our latest analysis for United Bancorp

How Do I Calculate A Price To Earnings Ratio?

The formula for P/E is:

Price to Earnings Ratio = Price per Share ÷ Earnings per Share (EPS)

Or for United Bancorp:

P/E of 13.46 = $11.9 ÷ $0.88 (Based on the year to September 2018.)

Is A High P/E Ratio Good?

A higher P/E ratio means that buyers have to pay a higher price for each $1 the company has earned over the last year. That isn’t a good or a bad thing on its own, but a high P/E means that buyers have a higher opinion of the business’s prospects, relative to stocks with a lower P/E.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Probably the most important factor in determining what P/E a company trades on is the earnings growth. When earnings grow, the ‘E’ increases, over time. Therefore, even if you pay a high multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become lower in the future. Then, a lower P/E should attract more buyers, pushing the share price up.

Most would be impressed by United Bancorp earnings growth of 18% in the last year. And its annual EPS growth rate over 5 years is 10%. So one might expect an above average P/E ratio.

How Does United Bancorp’s P/E Ratio Compare To Its Peers?

The P/E ratio indicates whether the market has higher or lower expectations of a company. As you can see below United Bancorp has a P/E ratio that is fairly close for the average for the banks industry, which is 14.2.

NasdaqCM:UBCP PE PEG Gauge December 20th 18
NasdaqCM:UBCP PE PEG Gauge December 20th 18

That indicates that the market expects United Bancorp will perform roughly in line with other companies in its industry. So if United Bancorp actually outperforms its peers going forward, that should be a positive for the share price. Further research into factors such asmanagement tenure, could help you form your own view on whether that is likely.

Don’t Forget: The P/E Does Not Account For Debt or Bank Deposits

It’s important to note that the P/E ratio considers the market capitalization, not the enterprise value. That means it doesn’t take debt or cash into account. Hypothetically, a company could reduce its future P/E ratio by spending its cash (or taking on debt) to achieve higher earnings.

Spending on growth might be good or bad a few years later, but the point is that the P/E ratio does not account for the option (or lack thereof).

United Bancorp’s Balance Sheet

United Bancorp’s net debt is 44% of its market cap. This is a reasonably significant level of debt — all else being equal you’d expect a much lower P/E than if it had net cash.

The Verdict On United Bancorp’s P/E Ratio

United Bancorp trades on a P/E ratio of 13.5, which is below the US market average of 16.2. The company hasn’t stretched its balance sheet, and earnings growth was good last year. The low P/E ratio suggests current market expectations are muted, implying these levels of growth will not continue.

Investors have an opportunity when market expectations about a stock are wrong. If the reality for a company is not as bad as the P/E ratio indicates, then the share price should increase as the market realizes this. We don’t have analyst forecasts, but you could get a better understanding of its growth by checking out this more detailed historical graph of earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with modest (or no) debt, trading on a P/E below 20.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.