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Universal Stainless & Alloy Products (USAP) Reports Q2 Loss, Misses Revenue Estimates

·3 min read

Universal Stainless & Alloy Products (USAP) came out with a quarterly loss of $0.09 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.25. This compares to loss of $0.27 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.

This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 64%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this specialty steel maker would post a loss of $0.64 per share when it actually produced a loss of $0.51, delivering a surprise of 20.31%.

Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times.

Universal Stainless, which belongs to the Zacks Steel - Producers industry, posted revenues of $38.5 million for the quarter ended June 2021, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.22%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $52.48 million. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates just once over the last four quarters.

The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call.

Universal Stainless shares have added about 35% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 15.1%.

What's Next for Universal Stainless?

While Universal Stainless has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock?

There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately.

Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions.

Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Universal Stainless was favorable. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to outperform the market in the near future. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

It will be interesting to see how estimates for the coming quarters and current fiscal year change in the days ahead. The current consensus EPS estimate is -$0.18 on $43.25 million in revenues for the coming quarter and -$1.05 on $165.32 million in revenues for the current fiscal year.

Investors should be mindful of the fact that the outlook for the industry can have a material impact on the performance of the stock as well. In terms of the Zacks Industry Rank, Steel - Producers is currently in the top 4% of the 250 plus Zacks industries. Our research shows that the top 50% of the Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by a factor of more than 2 to 1.


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