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Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For UFP Industries, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UFPI) Shares

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There wouldn't be many who think UFP Industries, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:UFPI) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.8x is worth a mention when the median P/E in the United States is similar at about 18x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Recent times have been pleasing for UFP Industries as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

View our latest analysis for UFP Industries

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If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on UFP Industries.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like UFP Industries' is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 21%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 89% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 5.3% each year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 13% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's curious that UFP Industries' P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of UFP Industries' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Having said that, be aware UFP Industries is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of UFP Industries' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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