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Upgrade: Analysts Just Made A Sizeable Increase To Their Kopin Corporation (NASDAQ:KOPN) Forecasts

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Simply Wall St
·3 min read
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Shareholders in Kopin Corporation (NASDAQ:KOPN) may be thrilled to learn that the analysts have just delivered a major upgrade to their near-term forecasts. The analysts greatly increased their revenue estimates, suggesting a stark improvement in business fundamentals.

Following the upgrade, the current consensus from Kopin's dual analysts is for revenues of US$50m in 2021 which - if met - would reflect a substantial 24% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Per-share losses are expected to explode, reaching US$0.08 per share. However, before this estimates update, the consensus had been expecting revenues of US$39m and US$0.095 per share in losses. We can see there's definitely been a change in sentiment in this update, with the analysts administering a sizeable upgrade to this year's revenue estimates, while at the same time reducing their loss estimates.

View our latest analysis for Kopin


The consensus price target rose 167% to US$12.00, with the analysts encouraged by the higher revenue and lower forecast losses for this year. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Kopin, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$5.50 and the most bearish at US$3.50 per share. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggests the analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Kopin's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 24% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2021 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 6.9% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 8.6% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Kopin is expected to grow much faster than its industry.

The Bottom Line

The highlight for us was that the consensus reduced its estimated losses this year, perhaps suggesting Kopin is moving incrementally towards profitability. They also upgraded their revenue estimates for this year, and sales are expected to grow faster than the wider market. With a serious upgrade to expectations and a rising price target, it might be time to take another look at Kopin.

Better yet, Kopin is expected to break-even soon - within the next few years - according to analyst forecasts, which would be a momentous event for shareholders. You can learn more about these forecasts, for free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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