At US$126, Is Ralph Lauren Corporation (NYSE:RL) Worth Looking At Closely?
Ralph Lauren Corporation (NYSE:RL), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Ralph Lauren’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
See our latest analysis for Ralph Lauren
What's The Opportunity In Ralph Lauren?
According to my valuation model, Ralph Lauren seems to be fairly priced at around 18% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Ralph Lauren today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $153.31, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Ralph Lauren’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.
What kind of growth will Ralph Lauren generate?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Ralph Lauren's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 39%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in RL’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on RL, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
If you'd like to know more about Ralph Lauren as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, we've found that Ralph Lauren has 2 warning signs (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.
If you are no longer interested in Ralph Lauren, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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