Echo Global Logistics, Inc. (NASDAQ:ECHO), which is in the logistics business, and is based in United States, led the NASDAQGS gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s take a look at Echo Global Logistics’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.
What's the opportunity in Echo Global Logistics?
The stock is currently trading at US$23.19 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 23% compared to my intrinsic value of $18.82. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Echo Global Logistics’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
What kind of growth will Echo Global Logistics generate?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a negative profit growth of -3.7% expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for Echo Global Logistics. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? If you believe ECHO should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. Given the uncertainty from negative growth in the future, this could be the right time to reduce your total portfolio risk. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ECHO for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. Its price has risen beyond its true value, on top of a negative future outlook. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Should the price fall in the future, will you be well-informed enough to buy?
Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Echo Global Logistics. You can find everything you need to know about Echo Global Logistics in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Echo Global Logistics, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at email@example.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.