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At US$23.91, Is It Time To Put Summit Financial Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:SMMF) On Your Watch List?

Simply Wall St

Summit Financial Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:SMMF), operating in the financial services industry based in United States, saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NASDAQCM, rising to highs of $27.2 and falling to the lows of $23.91. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Summit Financial Group's current trading price of $23.91 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Summit Financial Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for Summit Financial Group

What is Summit Financial Group worth?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 10.11% above my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Summit Financial Group today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $21.71, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. What's more, Summit Financial Group’s share price may be more stable over time (relative to the market), as indicated by its low beta.

What kind of growth will Summit Financial Group generate?

NasdaqCM:SMMF Past and Future Earnings, August 26th 2019

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a negative profit growth of -3.1% expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for Summit Financial Group. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? SMMF seems fairly priced right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock optimal for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on SMMF for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The stock appears to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. In addition to this, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystalize your views on SMMF should the price fluctuate below its true value.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Summit Financial Group. You can find everything you need to know about Summit Financial Group in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Summit Financial Group, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.