Adecoagro SA (NYSE:AGRO), which is in the food business, and is based in Luxembourg, saw significant share price volatility over the past couple of months on the NYSE, rising to the highs of $9.02 and falling to the lows of $7.01. This high level of volatility gives investors the opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at an artificially low price. A question to answer is whether Adecoagro’s current trading price of $7.35 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Adecoagro’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
What’s the opportunity in Adecoagro?
Good news, investors! Adecoagro is still a bargain right now. My valuation model shows that the intrinsic value for the stock is $13.45, but it is currently trading at US$7.35 on the share market, meaning that there is still an opportunity to buy now. However, given that Adecoagro’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
What kind of growth will Adecoagro generate?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With revenues expected to grow by a double-digit 11.9% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for Adecoagro. If the level of expenses is able to be maintained, it looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? Since AGRO is currently undervalued, it may be a great time to accumulate more of your holdings in the stock. With an optimistic outlook on the horizon, it seems like this growth has not yet been fully factored into the share price. However, there are also other factors such as financial health to consider, which could explain the current undervaluation.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on AGRO for a while, now might be the time to enter the stock. Its buoyant future outlook isn’t fully reflected in the current share price yet, which means it’s not too late to buy AGRO. But before you make any investment decisions, consider other factors such as the track record of its management team, in order to make a well-informed investment decision.
Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Adecoagro. You can find everything you need to know about Adecoagro in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Adecoagro, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.
The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at email@example.com.