Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?
One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put American Equity Investment Life Holding Company AEL stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:
A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.
On this front, American Equity has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 7.72, as you can see in the chart below:
This level actually compares quite favorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 stands at about 17.58. Also, if we focus on the long-term PE trend, American Equity’s current PE level puts it below its midpoint of 10.24 over the past five years.
The stock’s PE compares favorably with the Finance Market’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 14.09. This indicates that the stock is quite undervalued right now, compared to its peers.
However, American Equity has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of 7.65, which is slightly lower than the current level. So, it is fair to say that a more value-oriented path may be ahead for American Equity stock in the near term too.
Another key metric to note is the Price/Sales ratio. This approach compares a given stock’s price to its total sales, where a lower reading is generally considered better. Some people like this metric more than other value-focused ones because it looks at sales, something that is far harder to manipulate with accounting tricks than earnings.
Right now, American Equity has a P/S ratio of 1.14. This is a bit lower than the S&P 500 average, which comes in at 5x right now. Also, as we can see in the chart below, this is much below the highs for this stock in particular over the past few years.
Broad Value Outlook
In aggregate, American Equity currently has a Value Score of A, putting it into the top 20% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes American Equity a solid choice for value investors.
What About the Stock Overall?
Though American Equity might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth Score of B and a Momentum Score of B. This gives AEL a Zacks VGM score — or its overarching fundamental grade — of A. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)
Meanwhile, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been encouraging. The current quarter has seen two upward revision versus no downward revisions over the past sixty days, while the full-year estimates have seen four upward and no downward revisions in the past sixty days.
This has had a positive impact on the consensus estimate as the current quarter consensus estimate has shot up 2.1% over the past two months, while the full year estimate has increased 3.4%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:
American Equity Investment Life Holding Company Price and Consensus
American Equity Investment Life Holding Company price-consensus-chart | American Equity Investment Life Holding Company Quote
Such bullish analyst sentiments is the reason why the stock has a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) and why we are looking for outperformance from the company in the near term.
American Equity is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. Also, a quite strong industry rank (among Top 31% of more than 250 industries) and a Zacks Rank #2 instils optimism in the stock.
However, over the past two years, the broader industry has clearly underperformed the market at large, as you can see below:
We believe, despite an unsatisfactory past industry performance, good industry and Zacks ranks signal that the stock is likely to benefit from favorable broader factors in the immediate future. Add to this robust value metrics, and we believe that we have a strong value contender in AEL.
More Stock News: This Is Bigger than the iPhone!
It could become the mother of all technological revolutions. Apple sold a mere 1 billion iPhones in 10 years but a new breakthrough is expected to generate more than 27 billion devices in just 3 years, creating a $1.7 trillion market.
Zacks has just released a Special Report that spotlights this fast-emerging phenomenon and 6 tickers for taking advantage of it. If you don't buy now, you may kick yourself in 2020.
Click here for the 6 trades >>
Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report
American Equity Investment Life Holding Company (AEL) : Free Stock Analysis Report
To read this article on Zacks.com click here.
Zacks Investment Research