Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?
One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put, Central Valley Community Bancorp CVCY stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:
A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.
On this front, Central Valley has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 12.41, as you can see in the chart below:
This level actually compares pretty favorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 compares in at about 18.65. If we focus on the stock’s long-term PE trend, the current level puts Central Valley ’s current PE ratio somewhat below its midpoint (which is 14.39) over the past five years.
Further, the stock’s PE compares favorably with the Zacks Finance sector’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 14.84. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.
We should also point out that Central Valley has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of 12.75, so it is fair to expect an increase in the stock’s price in the near future.
An often-overlooked ratio that can still be a great indicator of value is the price/cash flow metric. This ratio doesn’t take amortization and depreciation into account, so can give a more accurate picture of the financial health in a business. This is a preferred metric to some valuation investors because cash flows are (a) generally less prone to manipulation by the company’s management, and (b) are less affected by variation in accounting policies between different companies.
The ratio is generally applied to find out whether a company’s stock is overpriced or underpriced with reference to its cash flows generation potential compared with its competitors. However, it is not commonly used for cross-industry comparison, as the average price to cash flow ratio varies from industry to industry.
In this case, P/CF ratio of Central Valley, 14.35 is higher than the Zacks Banks-West industry average of 10.6, which indicates that the stock is somewhat overvalued in this respect.
Broad Value Outlook
In aggregate, Central Valley currently has a Value Style Score of B, putting it into the top 40% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes CVCY a solid choice for value investors and some other metrics prove it as well.
For example, its P/CF ratio (another great indicator of value) comes in at 9.78, which is noticeably better than the industry average of 10.60. Clearly, CVCY is a solid choice on the value front from multiple angles.
What About the Stock Overall?
Though Central Valley might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth grade of F and a Momentum score of D. This gives CVCY a VGM score—or its overarching fundamental grade—of D. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>).
Meanwhile, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been mixed. The current quarter has seen three estimates go lower in the past sixty days compared to none higher, while current year estimate has seen one upward and no downward revision in the same time period.
This has had a noticeable impact on the consensus estimate, as the current quarter consensus estimate has fallen 12.8% in the past two months, while the current year estimate has nudged up 1.3%. in the same time period. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:
Central Valley Community Bancorp Price and Consensus
Central Valley Community Bancorp price-consensus-chart | Central Valley Community Bancorp Quote
Due to this somewhat mixed trend, the stock has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) and why we are looking for in-line performance from the company in the near term.
Central Valley is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. However, with a sluggish industry rank (bottom 21% out of more than 250 industries) and Zacks Rank #3, it is hard to get too excited about this company overall. In fact, over the past one year, the sector has clearly underperformed the broader market, as you can see below:
So, value investors might want to wait for estimates, analyst sentiment and broader factors to turn favorable in this name first, but once that happens, this stock could be a compelling pick.
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