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Is Village Bank and Trust Financial Corp. (NASDAQ:VBFC) Over-Exposed To Risk?

Joel Foster

The banking sector has been experiencing growth as a result of improving credit quality from post-GFC recovery. As a small-cap bank with a market capitalisation of US$47m, Village Bank and Trust Financial Corp.’s (NASDAQ:VBFC) profit and value are directly affected by economic growth. This is because borrowers’ demand for, and ability to repay, their loans depend on the stability of their salaries and interest rates. Risk associated with repayment is measured by bad debt which is written off as an expense, impacting Village Bank and Trust Financial’s bottom line. Today we will analyse Village Bank and Trust Financial’s level of bad debt and liabilities in order to understand the risk involved with investing in the bank.

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NASDAQCM:VBFC Historical Debt January 30th 19

How Good Is Village Bank and Trust Financial At Forecasting Its Risks?

The ability for Village Bank and Trust Financial to accurately forecast and provision for its bad loans shows it has a strong understanding of the level of risk it is taking on. If the bank provisions for more than 100% of the bad debt it actually writes off, then it is considered to be relatively prudent and accurate in its bad debt provisioning. Given its high bad loan to bad debt ratio of 150.6% Village Bank and Trust Financial has cautiously over-provisioned 50.6% above the appropriate minimum, indicating a safe and prudent forecasting methodology, and its ability to anticipate the factors contributing to its bad loan levels.

What Is An Appropriate Level Of Risk?

By nature, Village Bank and Trust Financial is exposed to risky assets by lending to borrowers who may not be able to repay their loans. Loans that cannot be recuperated by the bank, also known as bad loans, should typically form less than 3% of its total loans. When these loans are not repaid, they are written off as expenses which comes directly out of the bank’s profit. Since bad loans only make up a very insignificant 0.50% of its total assets, the bank exhibits very strict bad loan management and is exposed to a relatively insignificant level of risk in terms of default.

How Big Is Village Bank and Trust Financial’s Safety Net?

Handing Money Transparent

Village Bank and Trust Financial makes money by lending out its various forms of borrowings. Deposits from customers tend to bear the lowest risk given the relatively stable amount available and interest rate. The general rule is the higher level of deposits a bank holds, the less risky it is considered to be. Village Bank and Trust Financial’s total deposit level of 92% of its total liabilities is very high and is well-above the sensible level of 50% for financial institutions. This may mean the bank is too cautious with its level of its safer form of borrowing and has plenty of headroom to take on risker forms of liability.

Next Steps:

VBFC’s acquisition will impact the business moving forward. Keep an eye on how this decision plays out in the future, especially on its financial health and earnings growth. The list below is my go-to checks for VBFC. I use Simply Wall St’s platform to keep informed about any changes in the company and market sentiment, and also use their data as the basis for my articles.

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for VBFC’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for VBFC’s outlook.
  2. Valuation: What is VBFC worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether VBFC is currently mispriced by the market.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.