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Volatility 101: Should Acadia Realty Trust (NYSE:AKR) Shares Have Dropped 19%?

Simply Wall St

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But if you try your hand at stock picking, your risk returning less than the market. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term Acadia Realty Trust (NYSE:AKR) shareholders, since the share price is down 19% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 47%.

Check out our latest analysis for Acadia Realty Trust

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Acadia Realty Trust saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 26% per year, over the last three years. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 6.9% compound annual share price fall. So, despite the prior disappointment, shareholders must have some confidence the situation will improve, longer term. This positive sentiment is also reflected in the generous P/E ratio of 71.99.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

NYSE:AKR Past and Future Earnings, April 18th 2019

Dive deeper into Acadia Realty Trust's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Acadia Realty Trust's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Acadia Realty Trust the TSR over the last 3 years was -9.4%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that Acadia Realty Trust shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 19% over one year. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 4.2% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. Before spending more time on Acadia Realty Trust it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.

We will like Acadia Realty Trust better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.