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Volatility 101: Should Klöckner & Co (ETR:KCO) Shares Have Dropped 36%?

Simply Wall St

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Klöckner & Co SE (ETR:KCO) share price has gained 13% in the last three months. But that doesn't change the reality of under-performance over the last twelve months. In fact the stock is down 36% in the last year, well below the market return.

Check out our latest analysis for Klöckner & Co

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Unfortunately Klöckner & Co reported an EPS drop of 33% for the last year. We note that the 36% share price drop is very close to the EPS drop. Therefore one could posit that the market has not become more concerned about the company, despite the lower EPS. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

XTRA:KCO Past and Future Earnings, April 25th 2019

It is of course excellent to see how Klöckner & Co has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. If you are thinking of buying or selling Klöckner & Co stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We've already covered Klöckner & Co's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Klöckner & Co shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 34%, over the last year, isn't as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Klöckner & Co shareholders are down 34% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 2.0%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 7.1% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. Importantly, we haven't analysed Klöckner & Co's dividend history. This free visual report on its dividends is a must-read if you're thinking of buying.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on DE exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.