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Volatility 101: Should Owens-Illinois (NYSE:OI) Shares Have Dropped 49%?

Simply Wall St

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For many, the main point of investing is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term Owens-Illinois, Inc. (NYSE:OI) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 49% over a half decade. In contrast, the stock price has popped 8.9% in the last thirty days. But this could be related to good market conditions, with stocks up around 7.7% during the period.

See our latest analysis for Owens-Illinois

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Looking back five years, both Owens-Illinois's share price and EPS declined; the latter at a rate of 10% per year. Notably, the share price has fallen at 13% per year, fairly close to the change in the EPS. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

NYSE:OI Past and Future Earnings, July 3rd 2019

This free interactive report on Owens-Illinois's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Different Perspective

Owens-Illinois shareholders are up 5.0% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. But at least that's still a gain! Over five years the TSR has been a reduction of 13% per year, over five years. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. If you would like to research Owens-Illinois in more detail then you might want to take a look at whether insiders have been buying or selling shares in the company.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.