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Weakness Seen in Alta Mesa (AMR) Estimates: Should You Stay Away?

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Similar to wise buying decisions, exiting certain underperformers at the right time helps maximize portfolio returns. Selling off losers can be difficult, but if both the share price and estimates are falling, it could be time to get rid of the security before more losses hit your portfolio.

One such stock that you may want to consider dropping is Alta Mesa Resources, Inc. AMR, which has witnessed a significant price decline in the past four weeks, and it has seen negative earnings estimate revisions for the current quarter and the current year. A Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) further confirms weakness in AMR.

A key reason for this move has been the negative trend in earnings estimate revisions. For the full year, we have seen two estimates moving down in the past 30 days, compared with none upward revisions. This trend has caused the consensus estimate to trend lower, going from 49 cents a share a month ago to its current level of 14 cents.

Also, for the current quarter, Alta Mesa has seen two downward estimate revisions versus no revisions in the opposite direction, dragging the consensus estimate down to 7 cents a share from 16 cents over the past 30 days.   

The stock has also seen some pretty dismal trading lately, as the share price has dropped 18.9% in the past month.

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So it may not be a good decision to keep this stock in your portfolio anymore, at least if you don’t have a long time horizon to wait.

If you are still interested in the Oil and Gas – Exploration and Production – United States industry, you may instead consider a better-ranked stock - Eclipse Resources Corporation ECR. The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and may be a better selection at this time. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

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