The Labor Department’s jobless claims data for the week ended Apr 6 provides fresh evidence that the labor market is still robust. In fact, the metric dropped to its lowest level in nearly 50 years. The U.S. labor market is a picture of health at the moment fueled by strong job additions and record-low unemployment.
March 2019 witnessed significant job additions, indicating that hiring remains robust even as the economy nears full employment. The U.S. labor market is the major driver of the bull run, which is more than a decade old. Boyed by a robust labor market, Wall Street is still raging forward withstanding intermittent volatilities and fluctuations.
Jobless Claims Continue to Decline
On Apr 11, the Department of Labor reported that weekly jobless claims decreased 8,000 to a seasonally adjusted 196,000 (below the threshold 200,000 level) on Apr 4. The figure was better than the consensus estimate of 212,000 and the lowest experienced since October 1969.
The four-week moving average of initial claims dropped by 7,000 to 207,000 for the week ended Apr 6, the lowest level since early December 1969. This metric is considered a better measure of labor market trends as it eliminates weekly fluctuations.
Additionally, the number of people receiving benefits after an initial week of aid decreased by 13,000 to 1.71 million for the week ended Mar 31. Furthermore, the four-week moving average of continuing claims decreased 11,000 to 1.73 million.
Labor Market Remains Robust
On Apr 5, the Department of Labor reported non-farm job additions of 196,000 for the month of March, signifying 102th straight month of non-farm payroll growth. The figure was also higher than the consensus estimate of 184,000.
Moreover, February’s job additions were revised to 33,000 from 20,000. February’s job market was affected by partial shutdown of the U.S. government that continued for a record-setting 35 days. Meanwhile, January's job gains were also revised marginally upward to 312,000. These revisions took the first quarter's average job gains to a solid 180,000.
The unemployment rate remained at a 50-year low of 3.8%. The real unemployment rate (including people forced into part-time work and those only sporadically looking for jobs) also remained flat at 7.3%. This indicates a strong decline from the year-ago level of 7.9%.
Job data for March also revealed that average wage rate increased 0.14%, below the consensus estimate of 0.2%. The wage rate increased 3.2% year over year, below the consensus estimate of 3.4%. Lower unemployment along with lower wage growth has eliminated inflationary expectations which will enable the Fed to stick to its stand of not raising interest rate in 2019.
Health Care Services Lead Job Gains
According to the latest report (Apr 5, 2019) of the Department of Labor, the health care sector added 49,000 jobs in March, the highest amongst all the sectors. The professional and technical services was the second-largest recruiter with 34,000 jobs additions. Meanwhile, the restaurant and construction sectors also recruited heavily with 27,000 and 16,000 additions in March, respectively.
Our Top Picks
The momentum of the U.S. labor market is likely to continue in the future. Consequently, adding stocks from sectors that recruited the most in the recent past should prove to be lucrative. We have narrowed down our search to five stocks, each of which has a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.
The chart below shows price performance of our five picks year to date.
Dine Brands Global Inc. DIN owns, franchises, operates and rents full-service restaurants in the United States and internationally. The company has an expected earnings growth rate of 33.5% for the current year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has improved 2.1% over the last 60 days.
Insperity Inc. NSP provides human resources and business solutions to enhance business performance for small and medium-sized businesses in the United States. The company has an expected earnings growth rate of 22.4% for the current year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has improved 6.5% over the last 60 days.
Quanta Services Inc. PWR provides specialty contracting services in the United States, Canada, Australia, Latin America and internationally. The company has an expected earnings growth rate of 25.3% for the current year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has improved 9% over the last 60 days.
BioSpecifics Technologies Corp. BSTC engages in the development of an injectable collagenase clostridium histolyticum for various indications in the United States and internationally. The company has an expected earnings growth rate of 10.3% for the current year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has improved 8.3% over the last 60 days.
Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc. BIO develops, manufactures, and markets products and solutions for the life science research and clinical diagnostic in Europe, the Pacific Rim, the United States, and internationally. The company has an expected earnings growth rate of 22.6% for the current year. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has improved 5.6% over the last 60 days.
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