American Public Education, Inc. (NASDAQ:APEI), which is in the consumer services business, and is based in United States, saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NASDAQGS, rising to highs of US$33.63 and falling to the lows of US$21.58. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether American Public Education's current trading price of US$23.47 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at American Public Education’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
What's the opportunity in American Public Education?
Great news for investors – American Public Education is still trading at a fairly cheap price. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 18.84x is currently well-below the industry average of 26.01x, meaning that it is trading at a cheaper price relative to its peers. What’s more interesting is that, American Public Education’s share price is quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to move to its intrinsic value, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.
What kind of growth will American Public Education generate?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of American Public Education, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the upcoming, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? Although APEI is currently undervalued, the adverse prospect of negative growth brings about some degree of risk. I recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to APEI, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on APEI for some time, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you dig deeper into the stock. Given its current undervaluation, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.
Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on American Public Education. You can find everything you need to know about American Public Education in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in American Public Education, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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