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Why Commvault Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CVLT) Could Be Worth Watching

Simply Wall St

Commvault Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:CVLT), which is in the software business, and is based in United States, saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NASDAQGS, rising to highs of US$50.85 and falling to the lows of US$43.74. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Commvault Systems's current trading price of US$44.14 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Commvault Systems’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

See our latest analysis for Commvault Systems

What is Commvault Systems worth?

According to my valuation model, Commvault Systems seems to be fairly priced at around 15% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Commvault Systems today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $51.82, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. Is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Commvault Systems’s share price is quite volatile, we could potentially see it sink lower (or rise higher) in the future, giving us another chance to buy. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Commvault Systems look like?

NasdaqGS:CVLT Past and Future Earnings, December 31st 2019

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Commvault Systems’s revenue growth are expected to be in the teens in the upcoming years, indicating a solid future ahead. Unless expenses grow at the same level, or higher, this top-line growth should lead to robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? CVLT’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on CVLT, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Commvault Systems. You can find everything you need to know about Commvault Systems in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Commvault Systems, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.