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Why the Earnings Streak Will Continue for Dollar Tree (DLTR)

Zacks Equity Research

Looking for a stock that might be in a good position to beat earnings at its next report? Consider Dollar Tree, Inc. DLTR, a firm in the Retail - Discount Stores industry, which could be a great candidate for another beat.

This company has seen a nice streak of beating earnings estimates, especially when looking at the previous two reports. In fact, in these reports, DLTR has beaten estimates by at least 10% in both cases, suggesting it has a nice short-term history of crushing expectations.

Earnings in Focus

Two quarters ago, DLTR expected to post earnings of 87 cents per share, while it actually produced earnings of 99 cents per share, a beat of 13.8%. Meanwhile, for the most recent quarter, the company looked to deliver earnings of 90 cents per share, when it actually saw earnings of $1.01 per share instead, representing a 12.2% positive surprise.

Dollar Tree, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise

Dollar Tree, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise | Dollar Tree, Inc. Quote

Thanks in part to this history, recent estimates have been moving higher for Dollar Tree. In fact, the Earnings ESP for DLTR is positive, which is a great sign of a coming beat.

After all, the Zacks Earnings ESP compares the most accurate estimate to the broad consensus, looking to find stocks that have seen big revisions as of late, suggesting that analysts have recently become more bullish on the company’s earnings prospects. This is the case for DLTR, as the firm currently has a Zacks Earnings ESP of +0.63%, so another beat could be around the corner.

This is particularly true when you consider that DLTR has a great Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) which can be a harbinger of outperformance and a signal for a strong earnings profile. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.

When you add this solid Zacks Rank to a positive Earnings ESP, a positive earnings surprise happens nearly 70% of the time, so it seems pretty likely that DLTR could see another beat at its next report, especially if recent trends are any guide.

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