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Why FGL Holdings (NYSE:FG) Could Be Worth Watching

Simply Wall St

FGL Holdings (NYSE:FG), which is in the diversified financial business, and is based in United States, saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the NYSE over the last few months. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Today I will analyse the most recent data on FGL Holdings’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

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See our latest analysis for FGL Holdings

What is FGL Holdings worth?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my relative valuation model. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that FGL Holdings’s ratio of 21.15x is trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 19.53x, which means if you buy FGL Holdings today, you’d be paying a relatively reasonable price for it. And if you believe that FGL Holdings should be trading at this level in the long run, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Furthermore, it seems like FGL Holdings’s share price is quite stable, which means there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s fairly valued. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

Can we expect growth from FGL Holdings?

NYSE:FG Past and Future Earnings, May 27th 2019

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. In FGL Holdings’s case, its earnings over the next year are expected to double, indicating an incredibly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? FG’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at FG? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on FG, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for FG, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on FGL Holdings. You can find everything you need to know about FGL Holdings in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in FGL Holdings, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.